Match Info

BRAZIL: Serie B - Round 38

Date: 24 November 2024, Sunday

Location: Mineirão (Belo Horizonte)

Referee: Muniz dos Santos D. C. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping


	América Mineiro		Brusque

	1	X	2
	1.45	4.33	7	Watch
	1.44	4.2	6.25
	1.44	4.33	7	Watch
	1.46	4.38	7.95
	1.44	4.18	7.59
	1.4	4.33	7
	1.44	4.35	7.08	Watch
	1.44	4.33	7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.44 ↑ (1.44)	4.3 ↑ (4.1)	7.11 ↓ (7.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

América Mineiro
65.1%

Draw
21.8%

Brusque
13.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.9%

22.7%

12.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.4%

14.1%

19.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

América Mineiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Brusque has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for América Mineiro than the current prediction. (-24.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with América Mineiro that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brusque than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Brusque could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

América Mineiro - Brusque Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. América MG will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Jori (G) 36. Mateus Henrique 18. Julio 3. Lucao 30. Nicolas 19. Felipe Amaral 15. Moises (C) 8. Juninho 28. Fabinho 88. Matheus Davo 44. Adyson	1. Matheus Nogueira (G) 12. Gabriel Pinheiro 16. Torres J. 2. Everton Alemao 26. Marcelo Nunes 180. Rodolfo Potiguar (C) 19. Marcos Serrato 7. Dionisio 14. Gonzalez A. 9. Pollero R. 27. Diego Mathias
Substitutes
16. Ale 27. Cassio (G) 80. Daniel Junior 5. Elizari F. 73. Kaua Diniz 72. Paulinho 70. Rafa Barcelos 78. Renato Marques 75. Rodriguinho 71. Samuel Alves 77. Wallisson 68. Yago Santos	70. Cauari 11. Diego Tavares 17. Guilherme Queiroz 6. Lima G. 21. Luiz Henrique 31. Matheus Silva (G) 99. Robinho 4. Wallace
Coaches
Lisca	Marcelo Cabo

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
20', 1 - 0, Moises (Pen),
37', 2 - 0, Matheus Davo ⚽, Nicolas (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Nicolas ↓, Paulinho ↑,
64', Pollero R. ↓, Guilherme Queiroz ↑,
64', Marcelo Nunes ↓, Luiz Henrique ↑,
68', Moises ↓, Elizari F. ↑,
76', 3 - 0, Fabinho ⚽, Adyson (A),
81', Juninho ↓, Yago Santos ↑,
90+2', Kaua Diniz 🟨,

Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 9 and 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )).

Brusque is Relegated to Serie C (First stage )

Recent matches América MG is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Brusque is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match América MG is certain favorite.

There will not play in América MG: Felipe Azevedo (Injury) Gustavinho (Injury) Marlon (Injury) Martin Benitez (Injury)

There will not play in Brusque: Alex Ruan (Injury) Mauricio Ribeiro (Injury) Neto (Injury)

There are questionable in Brusque: Osman (Injury)

Last 1 head-to-head matches América MG won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- América Mineiro
Brazilian Serie B
18.11.24	Ceará - América Mineiro	1:0 ✺
12.11.24	América Mineiro - Ituano	3:2 ✺
05.11.24	Amazonas - América Mineiro	1:0 ✺
28.10.24	América Mineiro - Sport Recife	2:1 ✺
23.10.24	Operário Ferroviario - América Mineiro	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LWLWL
- Brusque FC
Brazilian Serie B
17.11.24	Brusque - Guarani	2:1 ✺
11.11.24	Paysandu - Brusque	1:0 ✺
05.11.24	Brusque - Botafogo SP	0:1 ✺
29.10.24	Brusque - Chapecoense	0:1 ✺
23.10.24	Ponte Preta - Brusque	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
02.08.24	Brusque - América Mineiro	0:0

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