Match Info

Date: 1 October 2022, Saturday

Location: Jonavos centrinis stadionas (Jonava)

Referee: Jackus M. (Ltu)


	Jonava		Džiugas Telšiai

	1	X	2
	5.2	4	1.48
	4.5	3.9	1.54
	4.26	3.56	1.68
	5.8	3.9	1.47
	4.55	3.98	1.61	Watch
	4.6	4.1	1.56
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.82 ↑ (4.01)	3.91 ↓ (3.98)	1.56 ↓ (1.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jonava
18.8%

Draw
23.1%

Džiugas Telšiai
58.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.3%

22.5%

55.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.2%

21.4%

58%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jonava has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

Džiugas Telšiai has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jonava than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Džiugas Telšiai than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Jonava - Džiugas Telšiai Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Lietava Jonava won 0.

Lietava Jonava has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Džiugas Telšiai is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Lietava Jonava could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Džiugas Telšiai is a favorite.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Lietava Jonava won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 9-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Lietava Jonava won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Jonava
Lithuanian TOPLYGA
16.09.22	Kauno Žalgiris - Jonava	2:1 ✺
10.09.22	Jonava - Panevėžys	1:1 ✺
07.09.22	Jonava - Banga Gargždai	0:5 ✺
03.09.22	Riteriai - Jonava	2:1 ✺
27.08.22	Jonava - Sūduva Marijampolė	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24 LTLLL
- Džiugas Telšiai
Lithuanian TOPLYGA
17.09.22	Džiugas Telšiai - Hegelmann Litauen	0:1 ✺
10.09.22	Džiugas Telšiai - Sūduva Marijampolė	2:1 ✺
07.09.22	Kauno Žalgiris - Džiugas Telšiai	5:1 ✺
03.09.22	Džiugas Telšiai - Žalgiris	1:1 ✺
27.08.22	Panevėžys - Džiugas Telšiai	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.4 LWLTL

Latest Head to Head

Lithuanian TOPLYGA
06.08.22	Džiugas Telšiai - Jonava	2:2
26.06.22	Džiugas Telšiai - Jonava	2:0
16.04.22	Jonava - Džiugas Telšiai	0:1
Lithuanian Division 2
25.10.20	Jonava - Džiugas Telšiai	0:0
17.07.20	Džiugas Telšiai - Jonava	2:2
10.08.19	Jonava - Džiugas Telšiai	1:2
01.07.15	Džiugas Telšiai - Jonava	2:4

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