Match Info

Eerste Divisie - Round 4

Date: 29 August 2025, Friday

Location: Sportcomplex De Toekomst (Ouder-Amstel)

Referee: Puts K. (Ned)

Where to Watch on TV:


Netherlands	ESPN Extra


	Jong Ajax		MVV Maastricht

	1	X	2
	1.86	3.6	3.75	Watch
	1.87	3.75	3.4
	1.88	3.95	3.55
	1.9	3.92	3.82
	2.04	3.37	3.54	Watch
	1.91	3.6	3.4
	1.96	3.8	3.48	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.92 ↓ (2.11)	3.71 ↑ (3.48)	3.56 ↑ (3.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jong Ajax
48.7%

Draw
25.1%

MVV Maastricht
26.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.3%

26.9%

28.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jong Ajax has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

MVV Maastricht has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Jong Ajax - MVV Maastricht Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Jong Ajax will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Jong Ajax will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Heerkens J. (G) 2. Appiah A. (C) 3. Alders G. 4. Johnson J. 5. Jetten L. 7. O'Niel D. 6. van de Pavert R. 8. Steur S. 11. Ouazane A. 9. Wolff K. 10. Bounida R.	1. Westerveld S. (G) 32. Tran L. M. 22. Breugelmans I. 4. Coomans W. 34. Schenk L. 29. Silva Timas I. 31. Kleinen M. 38. Klaasen R. 14. Kuipers M. 6. El Basri N. 9. Braken S. (C)
Substitutes
20. Kalokoh D. 16. Messori L. 18. Ouazane Z. 12. Setford C. (G) 19. Unuvar E. 17. van der Vaart D. 15. Verkuijl M.	21. Asante D. 7. Camil Mmaee 2. Francis S. 23. Geerinck R. (G) 19. Pawaridihadjo J. 40. Rijnbout N. (G) 10. Slegers F. 39. Sy K. 8. Van Dessel S. 26. van Kempen M. 11. Verheijen T. 24. Zaian A.
Coaches
Weijs W.	Hermans E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
16', Ouazane A. 🟨,
37', Bounida R. (Pen),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', El Basri N. ↓, Pawaridihadjo J. ↑,
54', Kleinen M. 🟨,
61', Silva Timas I. ↓, Camil Mmaee ↑,
61', Braken S. ↓, Slegers F. ↑,
61', Klaasen R. ↓, Van Dessel S. ↑,
62', Ouazane A. ↓, Unuvar E. ↑,
79', O'Niel D. ↓, Verkuijl M. ↑,
80', Bounida R. ↓, Messori L. ↑,
87', Wolff K. ↓, Ouazane Z. ↑,
88', van de Pavert R. ↓, van der Vaart D. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Jong Ajax won 2.

Maastricht is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Recently, Maastricht has had a series of away games.

Jong Ajax could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in Jong Ajax: Gooijer T. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Maastricht: Poitoux T. (Achilles Tendon Injury)

There are questionable in Jong Ajax: Bouwman A. (Knock)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Jong Ajax won 8 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 33:25. (average 1.7:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Jong Ajax won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 18:13. (average 1.8:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jong Ajax
Dutch Eerste Divisie
25.08.25	Jong Utrecht - Jong Ajax	4:3 ✺
18.08.25	Jong Ajax - Jong AZ Alkmaar	4:1 ✺
08.08.25	Den Bosch - Jong Ajax	2:0 ✺
09.05.25	Jong Ajax - FC Oss	0:0 ✺
02.05.25	MVV Maastricht - Jong Ajax	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LWLTL
- MVV Maastricht
Dutch Eerste Divisie
22.08.25	De Graafschap - MVV Maastricht	0:1 ✺
16.08.25	MVV Maastricht - Dordrecht	0:1 ✺
08.08.25	FC Oss - MVV Maastricht	4:0 ✺
Club Friendly
02.08.25	Patro Eisden Maasmechelen - MVV Maastricht	1:0 ✺
12.07.25	Meerssen - MVV Maastricht	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eerste Divisie
02.05.25	MVV Maastricht - Jong Ajax	1:0
19.08.24	Jong Ajax - MVV Maastricht	0:0
12.02.24	Jong Ajax - MVV Maastricht	3:0
01.09.23	MVV Maastricht - Jong Ajax	2:1
20.02.23	Jong Ajax - MVV Maastricht	4:2
16.09.22	MVV Maastricht - Jong Ajax	4:1
29.04.22	MVV Maastricht - Jong Ajax	1:0

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