Match Info

Eerste Divisie - Round 9

Date: 14 September 2026, Monday

Location: Sportcomplex Zoudenbalch (Utrecht)

Referee: Sturm R. (Ned)

Where to Watch on TV:


Netherlands	ESPN
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Jong Utrecht		Jong Ajax

	1	X	2
	2.01	4.00	3.00	Watch
	2.10	3.80	2.75
	2.20	3.60	2.70	Watch
	2.08	4.37	3.00
	2.22	4.22	2.65	Watch
	2.02	4.30	2.95
	2.06	4.01	3.01	Watch
	2.05	3.90	2.80
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.09 ↓ (2.11)	4.03 ↑ (3.7)	2.86 ↓ (2.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 0.75

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jong Utrecht
44.4%

Draw
23.1%

Jong Ajax
32.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.4%

24.7%

31.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43%

24.5%

32.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jong Utrecht has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Jong Ajax has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jong Utrecht than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jong Ajax than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Jong Utrecht - Jong Ajax Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Eppink M. (G) 2. Kooy W. 3. Schuldes J. 14. Kloosterboer P. 5. Plantinga V. (C) 8. Laaouina D. 10. Ghaddari M. 6. Agougil O. 7. Owen E. C. 9. Dundas N. 11. Menzo B.	1. Heerkens J. (G) 2. van de Pavert R. 3. van der Lans M. (C) 4. Muzungu M. 5. de Falco S. 6. Verkuijl M. 10. Acheampong L. 8. Peters T. 7. Simeon J. 9. Unuvar E. 11. Nash P.
Substitutes
20. den Boggende T. 31. Eversen J. (G) 16. Goes K. 22. Gyamfi-Amoah N. 13. Havelka M. 19. Omorowa R. 21. Rietveld L. 12. Sbai Y. 32. Tsankov M. (G) 18. van Ommeren J.	22. Abdalla M. 23. Bounida R. 20. Camara A. 30. El Hani A. (G) 16. Frankel L. 18. Johnson J. 21. Monserrate J. 24. Pugno D. 25. Salazar L. 12. Setford C. (G) 17. Spina G. 19. Zahouani F.
Coaches
Otten M.	Garcia C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
12', 1 - 0, Kooy W. ⚽, Agougil O. (A),
14', van de Pavert R. 🟨,
21', 2 - 0, Ghaddari M. ⚽,
41', 3 - 0, Owen E. C. ⚽, Plantinga V. (A),
2nd Half (3 - 1)
46', Agougil O. ↓, van Ommeren J. ↑,
46', van der Lans M. ↓, Spina G. ↑,
46', Peters T. ↓, Monserrate J. ↑,
54', Dundas N. 🟨,
55', 4 - 0, Menzo B. ⚽, Ghaddari M. (A),
56', Nash P. ↓, Bounida R. ↑,
56', Unuvar E. ↓, Pugno D. ↑,
58', Laaouina D. ↓, Sbai Y. ↑,
58', Dundas N. ↓, Omorowa R. ↑,
65', Menzo B. ↓, den Boggende T. ↑,
74', 5 - 0, Owen E. C. ⚽, den Boggende T. (A),
75', Schuldes J. 🟨,
75', Plantinga V. ↓, Goes K. ↑,
77', Muzungu M. ↓, Johnson J. ↑,
79', Schuldes J. ↓, Rietveld L. ↑,
85', 5 - 1, Pugno D. ⚽, Monserrate J. (A),
88', 6 - 1, Ghaddari M. ⚽,
90', Simeon J. ↓, Salazar L. ↑,
90', Spina G. 🟨,
90', Monserrate J. 🟨,
90+6', Heerkens J. 🟥,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 19 and 15).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Jong Utrecht won 2.

Recent form of Jong Utrecht has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Jong Ajax has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Jong Utrecht may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

There will not play in Jong Ajax: Bouwman A. (Injury) Faberski J. (Knee Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Jong Utrecht won 8 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 34:37. (average 1.7:1.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Jong Utrecht won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 20:16. (average 2.2:1.8).

Outrights of Dutch Eerste Divisie for now

Jong Utrecht: 0.31% Jong Ajax: 0.25%

Standings

Main

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
18	Jong Ajax	10	2	2	6	13:25	-12	8
20	Jong Utrecht	10	2	1	7	16:23	-7	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jong Utrecht
Dutch Eerste Divisie
11.09.26	NAC Breda - Jong Utrecht	2:3 ✺
07.09.26	Jong Utrecht - FC Eindhoven	0:0 ✺
31.08.26	Jong AZ Alkmaar - Jong Utrecht	2:1 ✺
28.08.26	FC Oss - Jong Utrecht	2:1 ✺
24.08.26	Jong Utrecht - Heracles Almelo	1:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.2 WTLLL
- Jong Ajax
Dutch Eerste Divisie
11.09.26	Jong Ajax - Waalwijk	0:2 ✺
04.09.26	Almere City - Jong Ajax	0:1 ✺
31.08.26	Jong PSV - Jong Ajax	1:1 ✺
28.08.26	Jong Ajax - Helmond Sport	3:2 ✺
22.08.26	NAC Breda - Jong Ajax	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.9 LWTWL

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eerste Divisie
24.04.26	Jong Ajax - Jong Utrecht	0:2
25.08.25	Jong Utrecht - Jong Ajax	4:3
28.02.25	Jong Utrecht - Jong Ajax	1:2
18.10.24	Jong Ajax - Jong Utrecht	0:0
05.02.24	Jong Utrecht - Jong Ajax	0:1
11.12.23	Jong Ajax - Jong Utrecht	2:1
24.04.23	Jong Utrecht - Jong Ajax	1:0

Jong Utrecht - Jong Ajax: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide