Match Info

Eerste Divisie - Round 9

Date: 3 October 2026, Saturday

Location: Frans Heesen Stadion (Oss)

Referee: Boel N. (Ned)

Where to Watch on TV:


Netherlands	ESPN 2


	FC Oss		MVV Maastricht

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.5	3	Watch
	2.25	3.60	2.70
	2.25	3.4	2.9	Watch
	2.31	3.65	2.98
	2.26	3.58	2.92	Watch
	2.25	3.4	2.75
	2.24	3.46	2.9	Watch
	2.24	3.45	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.25 ↑ (2.23)	3.51 ↓ (3.57)	2.86 ↓ (2.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

FC Oss
41.2%

Draw
26.4%

MVV Maastricht
32.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.9%

26.2%

32%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.6%

26%

32.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

FC Oss has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

MVV Maastricht has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for FC Oss than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for MVV Maastricht than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	16.7%	66.7%

FC Oss - MVV Maastricht Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Oss will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Maastricht will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Havekotte M. (C) 2. Pata I. 3. Miguel L. 23. Vianello D. 26. Kuijpers J. 11. Mathieu J. 10. van der Venne R. 8. Esajas M. 18. Silva K. 19. Nsingi F. 17. Hinoke M.	1. Wentges H. (G) 21. Asante D. 6. Dicke F. 22. Bouland S. 17. van der Wegen S. 18. Sierra E. 16. Klaasen R. (C) 24. El Hamdaoui N. 10. Dumont O. 7. Daneels L. 9. Vinogradac T.
Substitutes
5. Bynoe J. 21. Cox T. 27. de Lannoy M. 6. Horemans M. 4. Jansen Q. 30. Jansen S. (G) 24. Kuiper J. 28. Mol L. 25. Pansa J. 16. Remie D. (G) 9. Visser A. 33. Zonneveld L.	31. Bourard Y. 14. Kuipers M. 25. Liesdek Y. 19. Luijendijk M. 27. Matoug N. 13. Timmers S. (G) 12. van der Heijden S. (G) 11. Verheijen T. 29. Zimuangana O.
Coaches
Ultee S.	Jonker A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
27', 0 - 1, Vinogradac T. ⚽, Klaasen R. (A),
39', 1 - 1, Hinoke M. ⚽, Mathieu J. (A),
2nd Half (3 - 0)
51', 2 - 1, Hinoke M. ⚽, Mathieu J. (A),
53', 3 - 1, Hinoke M. ⚽, Nsingi F. (A),
60', Hinoke M. ↓, de Lannoy M. ↑,
68', Asante D. ↓, Liesdek Y. ↑,
68', Klaasen R. ↓, Luijendijk M. ↑,
68', El Hamdaoui N. ↓, Zimuangana O. ↑,
70', Nsingi F. ↓, Visser A. ↑,
70', Silva K. ↓, Pansa J. ↑,
70', Mathieu J. ↓, Bynoe J. ↑,
76', 4 - 1, de Lannoy M. ⚽, Pansa J. (A),
79', van der Venne R. ↓, Mol L. ↑,

Preview

A struggling side attempts to pull off an upset against a high-flying opponent (ranked 20th and 3rd in the Promotion - Eredivisie (Promotion: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Oss won 3.

Both teams have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

Confirmed absences for Maastricht: Tehubijuluw D. (Knee Injury).

Doubtful / questionable for Oss: Mariani M. (Injury).

Doubtful / questionable for Maastricht: Hofland M. (Arm Injury) Timber D. (Injury).

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Oss has recorded 5 wins, 4 draws, and 11 losses, with a goal aggregate of 18:33 (averaging 0.9:1.7 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Oss against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 1 draw, and 5 losses, with 9:11 goals (averaging 1:1.2 per game).

Outrights of Dutch Eerste Divisie for now

Maastricht: 1.63%

Standings

Main

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Maastricht	9	5	1	3	13:19	-6	16
15	Oss	9	3	0	6	12:14	-2	9

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Oss
Dutch Eerste Divisie
26.09.26	Emmen - FC Oss	1:0 ✺
18.09.26	FC Oss - Dordrecht	3:0 ✺
11.09.26	VVV-Venlo - FC Oss	3:1 ✺
04.09.26	Vitesse - FC Oss	2:1 ✺
28.08.26	FC Oss - Jong Utrecht	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 LWLLW
- MVV Maastricht
Dutch Eerste Divisie
26.09.26	MVV Maastricht - Helmond Sport	2:0 ✺
18.09.26	Waalwijk - MVV Maastricht	6:1 ✺
11.09.26	MVV Maastricht - Almere City	0:4 ✺
06.09.26	MVV Maastricht - Roda	1:1 ✺
28.08.26	Jong AZ Alkmaar - MVV Maastricht	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 WLLTW

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eerste Divisie
24.04.26	MVV Maastricht - FC Oss	0:2
08.08.25	FC Oss - MVV Maastricht	4:0
10.01.25	FC Oss - MVV Maastricht	1:0
27.09.24	MVV Maastricht - FC Oss	2:2
22.12.23	MVV Maastricht - FC Oss	2:0
10.11.23	FC Oss - MVV Maastricht	0:1
10.02.23	MVV Maastricht - FC Oss	5:1

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