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Current Win Probability
MVV Maastricht 50.9%
Draw 22.4%
Jong Ajax 26.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
43.8%
23.4%
32.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
44.4%
23.1%
32.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
MVV Maastricht has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in MVV Maastricht's performance.
Jong Ajax has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Jong Ajax might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for MVV Maastricht than the current prediction. (-6.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with MVV Maastricht that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jong Ajax than the current prediction. (+5.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Jong Ajax could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
91.7%
8.3%
0%
MVV Maastricht - Jong Ajax Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
MVV Maastricht will win
(11 of 12 users predict this - 91.67%). Confidence interval (95%): 76.03% – 100%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): MVV Maastricht will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Westerveld S. (G) 32. Tran L. M. 3. Dicke F. 24. Zaian A. 25. Tehubijuluw D. 27. Foubert L. 8. Van Dessel S. 31. Kleinen M. 11. Verheijen T. 9. Braken S. (C) 28. Amgar A.
1. Reverson P. (G) 2. Appiah A. 3. Johnson J. 4. van der Lans M. 5. Butera E. 8. Vink S. 6. Peters T. 7. Chourak N. 10. Ouazane A. 11. O'Niel D. 9. Unuvar E.
Substitutes
21. Asante D. 2. Francis S. 12. Goffings V. 17. Kassimi A. 19. Pawirodihardjo J. 10. Silva Timas I. 39. Sy K. 23. van der Heijden S. (G) 26. van Kempen M.
. Jetten L. . Kalokoh D. . Kasanwirjo K. . Muzungu M. . Nash P. . Ouazane Z. . Setford C. (G) . van der Vaart D. . Wolff K.
Coaches
van den Berg P.
Weijs W.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
33', 1 - 0, Kleinen M. ⚽, Braken S. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
57', Foubert L. ↓, Silva Timas I. ↑,
59', 1 - 1, Unuvar E. ⚽, Chourak N. (A),
60', Tehubijuluw D. 🟨,
61', van der Lans M. ↓, Muzungu M. ↑,
70', Tran L. M. ↓, Sy K. ↑,
71', Ouazane A. ↓, Nash P. ↑,
71', O'Niel D. ↓, Kalokoh D. ↑,
78', Reverson P. 🟨,
79', 2 - 1, Van Dessel S. (Penalty Awarded),
82', Butera E. ↓, van der Vaart D. ↑,
83', Vink S. ↓, Wolff K. ↑,
86', Amgar A. ↓, Asante D. ↑,
86', Verheijen T. ↓, Kassimi A. ↑,
90+3', Sy K. 🟨,
Preview
In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 18 and 20).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Maastricht won 2.
Both teams are currently in poor form.
Maastricht could have a small edge in this match.
There will not play in Maastricht: Poitoux T.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
There will not play in Jong Ajax: Alders G.
(Inactive)
Verkuijl M.
(Hamstring Injury)
There are questionable in Jong Ajax: Steur S.
(Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Maastricht won 8 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 22:32. (average 1.1:1.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Maastricht won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:15. (average 1.2:1.5).
Netherlands
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Westerveld S. (G) 
Tran L. M. 
Amgar A. 
Reverson P. (G) 
Silva Timas I. 
Muzungu M. 
Setford C. (G) 
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