Match Info

Eerste Divisie - Round 17

Date: 24 November 2025, Monday

Location: Sportcomplex Zoudenbalch (Utrecht)

Referee: Hardeman T. (Ned)

Where to Watch on TV:


Netherlands	Canal+


	Jong Utrecht		Den Bosch

	1	X	2
	2.4	4	2.4	Watch
	2.48	3.95	2.42
	2.54	4.02	2.52
	2.76	3.58	2.33	Watch
	2.42	3.72	2.52	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.52 ↓ (2.76)	3.85 ↑ (3.58)	2.44 ↑ (2.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jong Utrecht
37.2%

Draw
24.3%

Den Bosch
38.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.8%

26.1%

40.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.1%

25.5%

41%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jong Utrecht has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

Den Bosch has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jong Utrecht than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Den Bosch than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Jong Utrecht - Den Bosch Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Jong Utrecht will win (votes: 3 - 25%). Den Bosch will win (votes: 9 - 75%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Den Bosch: 50.5% – 99.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS, 2nd Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Eppink M. (G) 5. Kloosterboer P. 14. Mukeh J. (C) 3. Viereck N. 2. Ghaddari M. 10. Dundas N. 6. Jenner I. 8. Agougil O. 11. Demircan E. 9. Ohio N. 7. Jensen M.	36. van de Merbel P. (G) 22. Fortes J. 5. de Groot N. 4. van Grunsven T. (C) 3. Maas S. 33. Laros M. 26. el Bakkali Z. 10. van Leeuwen T. 17. Semedo E. 40. Boumassaoudi I. 8. Monzialo K.
Substitutes
17. Arcos G. 21. den Boggende T. 19. Ebite S. 20. El Arguioui R. 31. Eversen J. (G) 13. Kooy W. 15. Plantinga V. 18. Sneijder J. 32. Tsankov M. (G) 16. van den Boogaard B. 12. van der Wegen S.	27. Akmum R. 47. Barglan S. 1. Bijlsma T. (G) 38. Bodo D. 46. Boushaba A. 48. Elum S. (G) 6. Felida K. 42. Van Koeverden L. 16. Wang B.
Coaches
Otten M.	Landvreugd U.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
43', 1 - 0, Ohio N. ⚽, Agougil O. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 2)
49', Mukeh J. 🟨,
59', 1 - 1, Semedo E. ⚽, Fortes J. (A),
59', el Bakkali Z. ↓, Felida K. ↑,
60', Demircan E. ↓, Plantinga V. ↑,
60', Dundas N. ↓, El Arguioui R. ↑,
69', 2 - 1, Ohio N. ⚽, Plantinga V. (A),
72', Semedo E. ↓, Bodo D. ↑,
72', Boumassaoudi I. ↓, Barglan S. ↑,
76', Jensen M. ↓, van der Wegen S. ↑,
81', Maas S. ↓, Akmum R. ↑,
83', Bodo D. 🟨,
84', Ohio N. ↓, Ebite S. ↑,
84', Ghaddari M. ↓, Kooy W. ↑,
86', 2 - 2, Barglan S. ⚽, Monzialo K. (A),
89', 3 - 2, El Arguioui R. (Pen),

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 16 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Jong Utrecht won 0.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

There will not play in Den Bosch: Karlsson Grach S. (Injury)

In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Jong Utrecht won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 25:26. (average 1.4:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Jong Utrecht won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:10. (average 1.7:1.1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jong Utrecht
Dutch Eerste Divisie
21.11.25	Jong PSV - Jong Utrecht	3:3 ✺
07.11.25	Jong Utrecht - Emmen	1:2 ✺
01.11.25	Roda - Jong Utrecht	1:1 ✺
24.10.25	Jong Utrecht - FC Oss	0:0 ✺
21.10.25	VVV-Venlo - Jong Utrecht	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.7 TLTTW
- FC Den Bosch
Dutch Eerste Divisie
21.11.25	Den Bosch - Almere City	5:2 ✺
07.11.25	FC Eindhoven - Den Bosch	1:3 ✺
31.10.25	Den Bosch - De Graafschap	1:2 ✺
Dutch KNVB Beker
28.10.25	Den Bosch - ADO Den Haag	4:3 penalties ✺
Dutch Eerste Divisie
25.10.25	ADO Den Haag - Den Bosch	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.2 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eerste Divisie
27.01.25	Den Bosch - Jong Utrecht	2:0
16.09.24	Jong Utrecht - Den Bosch	0:3
15.04.24	Jong Utrecht - Den Bosch	0:2
04.11.23	Den Bosch - Jong Utrecht	1:1
08.05.23	Jong Utrecht - Den Bosch	0:0
06.01.23	Den Bosch - Jong Utrecht	1:4
18.04.22	Jong Utrecht - Den Bosch	0:1

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