Match Info

Eerste Divisie - Round 14

Date: 1 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Parkstad Limburg Stadion (Kerkrade)

Referee: Martens R. (Ned)

Where to Watch on TV:


Netherlands	Canal+, ESPN 1


	Roda		Jong Utrecht

	1	X	2
	1.49	4.75	4.75
	1.5	4.95	4.95
	1.51	4.69	4.79	Watch
	1.51	4.45	5.38	Watch
	1.54	4.5	4.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.51 ↓ (1.54)	4.67 ↓ (4.7)	4.92 ↑ (4.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Roda
61.3%

Draw
19.8%

Jong Utrecht
18.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.4%

19.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.2%

19.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Roda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Jong Utrecht has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Roda than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jong Utrecht than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Roda - Jong Utrecht Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Treichel J. (G) 22. Kruiver J. 3. Tol M. 28. Foss J. 15. Beerten L. 8. Muller J. P. 4. Nisbet J. 14. Breij M. 16. Cooper-Love J. 11. Griffith I. 9. van den Hurk A. (C)	1. Gadellaa K. (G) 2. van der Wegen S. 3. Kooy W. (C) 14. Viereck N. 5. Kloosterboer P. 10. El Arguioui R. 6. van Ommeren J. 8. Agougil O. 7. Jensen M. 9. van de Haar J. 11. Edhart L.
Substitutes
24. Deom J. 26. El Meliani R. 5. Jansen K. 35. Janssen F. 17. Lajud Martinez D. 20. Leijten R. 34. Maiorano L. 23. Steins J. (G) 29. Takidine I. 2. Timmermans J. 21. Zich B. (G)	17. Arcos G. 20. den Boggende T. 19. Ebite S. 31. Eppink M. (G) 32. Eversen J. (G) 12. Ghaddari M. 16. Jenner I. 13. Mukeh J. 15. Plantinga V. 18. Sneijder J.
Coaches
van Dessel K.	Otten M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
56', 1 - 0, Breij M. ⚽,
62', El Arguioui R. ↓, den Boggende T. ↑,
62', van Ommeren J. ↓, Jenner I. ↑,
62', Edhart L. ↓, Plantinga V. ↑,
68', Kruiver J. ↓, Deom J. ↑,
71', van de Haar J. ↓, Ebite S. ↑,
78', 1 - 1, Viereck N. ⚽, Agougil O. (A),
85', Jensen M. ↓, Ghaddari M. ↑,
85', Griffith I. ↓, Maiorano L. ↑,
90+1', Kooy W. 🟨,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: ) and 13).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Roda won 3.

Roda has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Jong Utrecht has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Jong Utrecht may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Roda is considered a favorite.

We predict that Roda will win today's game, with odds of 1.51.

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Roda won 10 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 27:17. (average 1.8:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Roda won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 16:8. (average 2:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Roda JC
Dutch KNVB Beker
28.10.25	Capelle - Roda	1:5 ✺
Dutch Eerste Divisie
24.10.25	Vitesse - Roda	2:2 ✺
20.10.25	Roda - Almere City	2:0 ✺
17.10.25	Roda - Den Bosch	6:0 ✺
03.10.25	Willem II - Roda	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 WTWWW
- Jong Utrecht
Dutch Eerste Divisie
24.10.25	Jong Utrecht - FC Oss	0:0 ✺
21.10.25	VVV-Venlo - Jong Utrecht	0:1 ✺
17.10.25	Jong Utrecht - MVV Maastricht	3:1 ✺
03.10.25	Vitesse - Jong Utrecht	2:0 ✺
30.09.25	Jong Utrecht - Jong AZ Alkmaar	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.8 TWWLT

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eerste Divisie
24.01.25	Roda - Jong Utrecht	3:0
22.11.24	Jong Utrecht - Roda	1:3
26.01.24	Roda - Jong Utrecht	0:0
01.09.23	Jong Utrecht - Roda	1:0
06.03.23	Jong Utrecht - Roda	1:3
28.10.22	Roda - Jong Utrecht	4:1
01.04.22	Roda - Jong Utrecht	2:1

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