Match Info

Eerste Divisie - Round 15

Date: 7 November 2025, Friday

Location: Sportcomplex Zoudenbalch (Utrecht)

Referee: Kuipers J. (Ned)

Where to Watch on TV:


Netherlands	ESPN Extra


	Jong Utrecht		Emmen

	1	X	2
	2.82	3.6	2.2	Watch
	2.82	3.7	2.22
	2.86	3.92	2.29
	2.53	3.39	2.63	Watch
	2.8	3.6	2.3	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.77 ↓ (3.06)	3.64 ↓ (3.8)	2.33 ↑ (2.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jong Utrecht
33.9%

Draw
25.8%

Emmen
40.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.5%

24.6%

44.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.7%

23.7%

43.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jong Utrecht has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

Emmen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jong Utrecht than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Emmen than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Jong Utrecht - Emmen Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

1X2, 1st Half - Jong Utrecht (3.24) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Emmen will win (9 of 9 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Emmen will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Jong Utrecht (votes: 1 - 20%). Emmen (votes: 4 - 80%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Gadellaa K. (C) 2. van der Wegen S. 3. Kooy W. 14. Mukeh J. 5. Kloosterboer P. 8. Agougil O. 6. van Ommeren J. 10. El Arguioui R. 7. Jensen M. 9. Ohio N. 11. Demircan E.	38. Unbehaun L. (C) 36. Everink L. 6. Mulder P. 4. Ostergaard C. 17. Larsen L. 8. Bakir A. 25. Kongolo R. 19. Claridge A. 77. Gerezgiher F. 9. Postema R. 11. Amadin N.
Substitutes
17. Arcos G. 21. den Boggende T. 20. Dundas N. 31. Eppink M. (G) 32. Eversen J. (G) 12. Ghaddari M. 16. Jenner I. 15. Plantinga V. 18. Sneijder J. 19. van de Haar J. 13. Viereck N.	22. Beukers D. 34. Bolk G. 1. Bucker K. (G) 18. Evina F. 27. Marheineke L. 24. Mesbahi J. 16. Norder K. (G) 21. Nunumete D. 23. Oostra T. 14. van Manen S.
Coaches
Otten M.	van Dam M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
14', 1 - 0, El Arguioui R. ⚽, Demircan E. (A),
17', Larsen L. ↓, Bolk G. ↑,
18', Agougil O. 🟨,
21', Postema R. (Pen),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', El Arguioui R. ↓, Jenner I. ↑,
46', Kongolo R. ↓, Nunumete D. ↑,
46', Everink L. ↓, Mesbahi J. ↑,
69', Demircan E. ↓, Plantinga V. ↑,
69', Bakir A. ↓, Evina F. ↑,
69', Ohio N. ↓, van de Haar J. ↑,
69', 1 - 1, Mulder P. ⚽, Amadin N. (A),
75', 1 - 2, Gerezgiher F. ⚽, Ostergaard C. (A),
76', van Ommeren J. ↓, Viereck N. ↑,
80', Mukeh J. ↓, Arcos G. ↑,
90+1', Gerezgiher F. ↓, van Manen S. ↑,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 13 and 12).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Jong Utrecht won 0.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Jong Utrecht may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Emmen might have a minor edge in this game.

There will not play in Emmen: Denk L. (Knee Injury) Kade J. (Knee Injury) Rhein T. (Knee Injury)

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Jong Utrecht won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 7 matches, and goals 10:15. (average 1:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Jong Utrecht won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 7:9. (average 1.4:1.8).

Last Results with these Odds

Emmen - the odds 2.08 are the expected chance of winning is 44.9%, but this team recently wins 60% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jong Utrecht
Dutch Eerste Divisie
01.11.25	Roda - Jong Utrecht	1:1 ✺
24.10.25	Jong Utrecht - FC Oss	0:0 ✺
21.10.25	VVV-Venlo - Jong Utrecht	0:1 ✺
17.10.25	Jong Utrecht - MVV Maastricht	3:1 ✺
03.10.25	Vitesse - Jong Utrecht	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.7 TTWWL
- FC Emmen
Dutch Eerste Divisie
02.11.25	Emmen - Waalwijk	2:2 ✺
Dutch KNVB Beker
28.10.25	Hoogeveen - Emmen	1:0 ✺
Dutch Eerste Divisie
24.10.25	Jong Ajax - Emmen	0:1 ✺
17.10.25	VVV-Venlo - Emmen	4:0 ✺
11.10.25	Emmen - FC Eindhoven	6:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 TLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eerste Divisie
14.03.25	Emmen - Jong Utrecht	2:0
30.08.24	Jong Utrecht - Emmen	1:2
15.03.24	Jong Utrecht - Emmen	2:3
18.09.23	Emmen - Jong Utrecht	2:0
11.03.22	Emmen - Jong Utrecht	2:0
01.10.21	Jong Utrecht - Emmen	0:1
28.04.18	Emmen - Jong Utrecht	0:0

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