Match Info

Date: 23 April 2021, Friday


	Jong Utrecht		Go Ahead Eagles

	1	X	2
	5.25	4	1.61
	4.25	3.9	1.62
	4.9	3.95	1.62
	4.3	3.85	1.67
	4.78	4.09	1.74
	4.5	3.8	1.6
	4.9	3.94	1.69
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.7 ↓ (4.96)	3.93 ↓ (4.1)	1.65 ↑ (1.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jong Utrecht
19.8%

Draw
23.7%

Go Ahead Eagles
56.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.7%

22.6%

58.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.7%

19%

69.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jong Utrecht has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Go Ahead Eagles has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jong Utrecht than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Go Ahead Eagles than the current prediction. (+13.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Go Ahead Eagles could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Jong Utrecht - Go Ahead Eagles Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

No spectators.

Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 18 and 5 in the zone Promotion to Eredivisie (Promotion)).

Jong Utrecht is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Go Ahead is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Go Ahead is a favorite.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Jong Utrecht won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 6-18.

Including matches at home between the teams Jong Utrecht won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jong Utrecht
Dutch Eerste Divisie
16.04.21	Jong Utrecht - Volendam	2:3 ✺
09.04.21	NAC Breda - Jong Utrecht	3:1 ✺
05.04.21	Jong Utrecht - De Graafschap	0:1 ✺
02.04.21	Telstar - Jong Utrecht	2:3 ✺
19.03.21	Helmond Sport - Jong Utrecht	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 LLLWL
- Go Ahead Eagles
Dutch Eerste Divisie
17.04.21	Go Ahead Eagles - Almere City	3:0 ✺
11.04.21	De Graafschap - Go Ahead Eagles	1:0 ✺
05.04.21	NAC Breda - Go Ahead Eagles	0:1 ✺
02.04.21	Go Ahead Eagles - Roda	0:0 ✺
29.03.21	Den Bosch - Go Ahead Eagles	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 WLWTT

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eerste Divisie
02.10.20	Go Ahead Eagles - Jong Utrecht	2:3
Club Friendly
05.01.20	Jong Utrecht - Go Ahead Eagles	Canceled
Dutch Eerste Divisie
20.12.19	Jong Utrecht - Go Ahead Eagles	0:3
23.08.19	Go Ahead Eagles - Jong Utrecht	4:0
11.02.19	Jong Utrecht - Go Ahead Eagles	2:4
17.08.18	Go Ahead Eagles - Jong Utrecht	5:0
02.04.18	Jong Utrecht - Go Ahead Eagles	1:0

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