The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Den Bosch 14.1%
Draw 22%
Go Ahead Eagles 64%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
26%
27.4%
46.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
39%
18.3%
31.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Den Bosch has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Den Bosch's form might have worsened.
Go Ahead Eagles has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+17.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Go Ahead Eagles's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Den Bosch than the current prediction. (+24.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Den Bosch, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Go Ahead Eagles than the current prediction. (-32.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Go Ahead Eagles, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
11.7%
4.9%
83.3%
Den Bosch - Go Ahead Eagles Predictions
Users Predictions:
Go Ahead Eagles will win
(135 of 162 users predict this - 83.33%). Confidence interval (95%): 77.59% – 89.07%.The data is statistically significant.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2
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Preview
No spectators.
This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 20 and 5 in the zone Promotion to Eredivisie (Promotion)).
Recent matches Den Bosch is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Go Ahead is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
In this match Go Ahead is certain favorite.
Last 15 head-to-head matches Den Bosch won 5 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 17-18.
Including matches at home between the teams Den Bosch won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 12-8.