The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Jong Utrecht 37.3%
Draw 25.1%
VVV-Venlo 37.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
36.5%
25.6%
37.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
36.1%
25.3%
38.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Jong Utrecht has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
VVV-Venlo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jong Utrecht than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for VVV-Venlo than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
Jong Utrecht - VVV Venlo Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Gadellaa K. (G) 2. Sbai Y. 3. Schuldes J. 5. Plantinga V. (C) 14. Kloosterboer P. 6. Kooy W. 10. Ghaddari M. 8. Laaouina D. 7. Chigozie Owen E. 9. den Boggende T. 11. Omorowa R.
13. Schoonderwaldt Y. (G) 14. Vullers R. 4. Clancy E. 33. Blancquart G. 5. de Blok L. (C) 8. M'hand I. 38. Schenkhuizen T. 7. Zuliani E. 24. Odriss M. 11. Ait Mouhou N. 9. Tsigkas M.
Substitutes
20. Dundas N. 31. Eversen J. (G) 12. Goes K. 22. Gyamfi-Amoah N. 16. Havelka M. 19. Hunte J. 17. Menzo B. 21. Rietveld L. 32. Tsankov M. (G)
31. Davis M. 1. Doornbusch T. (G) 35. el Anbri Y. 21. Gorlich L. 16. Heise P. 19. Janssen T. 15. Joosten T. 17. Schmidt L. G. 22. Taylan Z. (G) 6. Verstraeten A.
Coaches
Otten M.
Dijkhuizen M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 2)
14', 0 - 1, Ait Mouhou N. ⚽, de Blok L. (A),
18', 0 - 2, Schenkhuizen T. ⚽, Tsigkas M. (A),
38', 1 - 2, Schuldes J. ⚽, Laaouina D. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Chigozie Owen E. ↓, Menzo B. ↑,
53', 1 - 3, Ait Mouhou N. ⚽, M'hand I. (A),
54', Tsigkas M. ↓, Schmidt L. G. ↑,
54', M'hand I. ↓, Verstraeten A. ↑,
60', Kloosterboer P. ↓, Dundas N. ↑,
70', Laaouina D. ↓, Goes K. ↑,
70', Omorowa R. ↓, Gyamfi-Amoah N. ↑,
71', Verstraeten A. 🟨,
73', Plantinga V. 🟨,
76', Zuliani E. ↓, Heise P. ↑,
76', Odriss M. ↓, Janssen T. ↑,
79', Schuldes J. ↓, Rietveld L. ↑,
Preview
An intriguing matchup between a mid-ranked team and a top contender (ranked 15th and 4th in the Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Jong Utrecht won 1.
In recent outings, Jong Utrecht has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Venlo is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Jong Utrecht may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
In the last 12 head-to-head meetings, Jong Utrecht has recorded 2 wins, 5 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 12:18 (averaging 1:1.5 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Jong Utrecht against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 5 draws, and 1 loss, with 5:6 goals (averaging 0.8:1 per game).
Outrights of Dutch Eerste Divisie for now
Venlo: 7.38% Jong Utrecht: 0.31%
Standings
Main
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
3
Venlo
10
7
0
3
26:14
12
21
20
Jong Utrecht
10
2
1
7
16:23
-7
7
Last Results with these Odds
Jong Utrecht - the odds 2.5 are the expected chance of winning is 36.54%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.
VVV-Venlo - the odds 2.41 are the expected chance of winning is 37.91%, but this team recently wins 20% of matches with these odds.