Match Info

Date: 24 October 2022, Monday

Location: Sportcomplex Zoudenbalch (Utrecht)

Referee: Smit N. (Ned)

Where to Watch on TV:


Netherlands	ESPN


	Jong Utrecht		Zwolle

	1	X	2
	4.5	4.33	1.65	Watch
	4.33	4	1.62
	4.7	4.1	1.61
	4.4	4.1	1.62
	4.62	4.41	1.68
	4.75	3.8	1.6
	4.65	4.3	1.63	Watch
	4.5	4.2	1.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.56 ↑ (4.51)	4.16 ↑ (3.93)	1.63 ↑ (1.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jong Utrecht
20.5%

Draw
22.4%

Zwolle
57.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.2%

23.2%

56.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.8%

22.8%

57.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jong Utrecht has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Zwolle has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jong Utrecht than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zwolle than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
5.9%	2.9%	91.2%

Jong Utrecht - Zwolle Predictions

Users Predictions: Zwolle will win (31 of 34 users predict this - 91.18%).
Confidence interval (95%): 81.65% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 20 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Relegation)).

Jong Utrecht is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Zwolle is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Jong Utrecht could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Zwolle is a favorite.

There will not play in Jong Utrecht: St. Jago T. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Zwolle: Lagsir S. (Knee Injury)

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jong Utrecht
Dutch Eerste Divisie
14.10.22	De Graafschap - Jong Utrecht	2:0 ✺
07.10.22	Jong Utrecht - Almere City	0:2 ✺
30.09.22	Telstar - Jong Utrecht	2:2 ✺
16.09.22	NAC Breda - Jong Utrecht	3:1 ✺
12.09.22	Jong Utrecht - ADO Den Haag	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LLTLT
- PEC Zwolle
Dutch KNVB Beker
20.10.22	HHC Hardenberg - Zwolle	0:1 ✺
Dutch Eerste Divisie
14.10.22	Zwolle - Heracles Almelo	3:2 ✺
07.10.22	Dordrecht - Zwolle	3:0 ✺
30.09.22	Zwolle - Jong Ajax	1:1 ✺
16.09.22	Zwolle - ADO Den Haag	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 WWLTL

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