Match Info

Date: 7 October 2022, Friday

Location: Riwal Hoogwerkers Stadium (Dordrecht)

Referee: Hensgens R. (Ned)

Where to Watch on TV:


Netherlands	ESPN


	Dordrecht		Zwolle

	1	X	2
	6.5	5	1.44
	6	4.6	1.41
	6.5	4.75	1.4
	6	4.7	1.41
	6.82	4.98	1.45
	6.5	4.33	1.4
	6.45	4.95	1.42	Watch
	6	4.8	1.41
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.35 ↑ (4.76)	4.76 ↑ (4.1)	1.42 ↓ (1.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dordrecht
14.7%

Draw
19.6%

Zwolle
65.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.2%

22.3%

58.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.6%

21.6%

60.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dordrecht has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

Zwolle has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Zwolle's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dordrecht than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zwolle than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Zwolle, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.5%	8.3%	79.2%

Dordrecht - Zwolle Predictions

Users Predictions: Zwolle will win (19 of 24 users predict this - 79.17%).
Confidence interval (95%): 62.92% – 95.42%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 16 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie).

Dordrecht is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Zwolle is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Zwolle could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Zwolle is indisputable favorite.

There will not play in Zwolle: Lagsir S. (Knee Injury) Schendelaar J. (Red Card)

There are questionable in Dordrecht: Mannes R. (Injury) Noc M. (Injury)

Last 3 head-to-head matches Dordrecht won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 2-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Dordrecht won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Dordrecht
Dutch Eerste Divisie
30.09.22	FC Eindhoven - Dordrecht	1:1 ✺
23.09.22	Dordrecht - MVV Maastricht	1:2 ✺
16.09.22	Helmond Sport - Dordrecht	2:1 ✺
09.09.22	Dordrecht - Den Bosch	2:1 ✺
05.09.22	Jong AZ Alkmaar - Dordrecht	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 TLLWL
- PEC Zwolle
Dutch Eerste Divisie
30.09.22	Zwolle - Jong Ajax	1:1 ✺
16.09.22	Zwolle - ADO Den Haag	1:2 ✺
12.09.22	Jong AZ Alkmaar - Zwolle	2:3 ✺
09.09.22	Zwolle - Willem II	2:2 ✺
02.09.22	Den Bosch - Zwolle	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 TLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
30.07.22	Zwolle - Dordrecht	2:1
Dutch Eredivisie
04.02.15	Zwolle - Dordrecht	4:0
16.08.14	Dordrecht - Zwolle	1:2

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