Match Info

Date: 30 September 2022, Friday

Location: MAC³PARK Stadion (Zwolle)

Referee: Ruperti C. (Ned)


	Zwolle		Jong Ajax

	1	X	2
	1.45	5	6	Watch
	1.42	5	5.5
	1.43	5.1	5.75
	1.43	4.9	5.2
	1.5	5.11	5.98
	1.4	4.5	6	Watch
	1.44	5.15	5.8	Watch
	1.45	5	5.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.44 ↓ (1.62)	4.97 ↑ (4.08)	5.7 ↑ (4.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zwolle
64.8%

Draw
18.8%

Jong Ajax
16.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.7%

22.6%

20.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.1%

22.1%

20.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zwolle has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Zwolle's performance.

Jong Ajax has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zwolle than the current prediction. (-6.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Zwolle that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jong Ajax than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
56%	4%	40%

Zwolle - Jong Ajax Predictions

Users Predictions: 25 users predict this event. Zwolle will win (votes: 14 - 56%). Jong Ajax will win (votes: 10 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Zwolle: 36.5% – 75.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie and 10).

Zwolle is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Jong Ajax is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Zwolle is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- PEC Zwolle
Dutch Eerste Divisie
16.09.22	Zwolle - ADO Den Haag	1:2 ✺
12.09.22	Jong AZ Alkmaar - Zwolle	2:3 ✺
09.09.22	Zwolle - Willem II	2:2 ✺
02.09.22	Den Bosch - Zwolle	1:2 ✺
26.08.22	Zwolle - Jong PSV	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LWTWW
- Jong Ajax
Dutch Eerste Divisie
16.09.22	MVV Maastricht - Jong Ajax	4:1 ✺
12.09.22	Jong Ajax - NAC Breda	3:1 ✺
09.09.22	FC Oss - Jong Ajax	1:1 ✺
05.09.22	Jong Ajax - Heracles Almelo	4:0 ✺
28.08.22	ADO Den Haag - Jong Ajax	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 LWTWL

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