The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Jorge Wilstermann 50.3%
Draw 24.9%
Guabirá 24.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
54.7%
23.2%
22.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
55.7%
22.8%
21.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Jorge Wilstermann has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)
Guabirá has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jorge Wilstermann than the current prediction. (+5.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Jorge Wilstermann, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guabirá than the current prediction. (-3.1%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
80%
13.3%
6.7%
Jorge Wilstermann - Guabirá Predictions
Users Predictions:
Jorge Wilstermann will win
(12 of 15 users predict this - 80%). Confidence interval (95%): 59.76% – 100%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Jorge Wilstermann will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
25. Cuellar J. (G)
6. Anez C.
28. Baigorria Y.
17. Barco C.
97. Gil S.
29. Masskooni N.
11. Melgar S.
32. Olguin G.
7. Peredo G.
21. Portillo M. (C)
77. Thiago Ribeiro
Substitutes
37. Chavez T.
12. Ferrel M. (G)
33. Hurtado Badani L. E.
5. Moreno A.
14. Parada J.
15. Rafinha
24. Robles D.
26. Saucedo O.
23. Vargas L.
27. Villarroel M.
Coaches
. Carlen R.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
32', 0 - 1, Peredo G. ⚽, Melgar S. (A),
36', Soto R. ↓, Montano J. ↑,
43', 1 - 1, Caceres A. ⚽, Machado C. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Olguin G. ↓, Robles D. ↑,
60', Anez C. 🟨,
62', Andersen L. ↓, Barron A. ↑,
64', Machado C. 🟨,
68', Montano J. ↓, Guillermo A. ↑,
68', Rodriguez L. ↓, Ancieta C. ↑,
69', Melgar S. ↓, Villarroel M. ↑,
72', Thiago Ribeiro ↓, Rafinha ↑,
Preview
An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 15 in the zone Division Profesional (Relegation) and 11).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wilstermann won 2.
Wilstermann is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Guabirá has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
Wilstermann may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Wilstermann could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Wilstermann won 11 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 37:26. (average 1.9:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Wilstermann won 8 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 21:7. (average 2.1:0.7).
Last Results with these Odds
Jorge Wilstermann - the odds 1.7 are the expected chance of winning is 54.65%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.
Bolivia
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Cuellar J. (G) 
Barco C. 
Portillo M. (C) 
Thiago Ribeiro 
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