Match Info

Division Profesional - Round 12

Date: 30 June 2025, Monday

Location: Estadio Jesús Bermúdez (Oruro)

Referee: Quenta G. (Bol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bolivia	Futbol Canal


	Real Oruro		Jorge Wilstermann

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.4	4.5	Watch
	1.72	3.4	4.1
	1.85	3.3	4.05	Watch
	1.86	3.51	4.34
				Watch
	1.75	3.4	4.2
	1.79	3.54	4.17	Watch
	1.85	3.3	4.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.8 ↑ (1.73)	3.41 ↓ (3.8)	4.2 ↓ (4.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Oruro
51.1%

Draw
27%

Jorge Wilstermann
21.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.8%

24.5%

21.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.7%

24.1%

21.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Oruro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

Jorge Wilstermann has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Oruro than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jorge Wilstermann than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	16.7%	0%

Real Oruro - Jorge Wilstermann Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Real Oruro (1.32) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Real Oruro will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Real Oruro will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Real Oruro (votes: 5 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Hunacota Terceros R. (G) 30. Prieto J. 5. Alessandrini A. 2. Vila J. (C) 20. Gomez Saca R. 10. Ali L. 6. Thomas J. 27. Zeballos S. 19. Vallejos Y. 97. Cuellar Orti R. 11. Gustavo Oliveira	1. Salinas L. (G) 3. Chumacero A. (C) 6. Villarroel N. 5. Castillo G. 14. Pardo E. 24. Montano J. 20. Guillermo A. 8. Mamani J. 34. Ancieta C. 10. Bobadilla H. 7. Caceres A.
Substitutes
77. Ali Gutierrez J. D. 28. Alvarez E. 26. Calle G. 17. Ortiz M. 15. Salvatierra H. 8. Velasco W. 23. Villegas Y. 1. Zamora D. (G)	29. Adrian J. 30. Andersen L. 18. Barron A. 27. Corrales R. 35. Guillermo A. 17. Rodriguez L. 28. Soto R. 11. Tellez M. 33. Zotes S. (G)
Coaches
Straccia M.	Chavez C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
9', 1 - 0, Zeballos S. ⚽, Cuellar Orti R. (A),
15', Mamani J. 🟨,
35', Hunacota Terceros R. 🟨,
36', 2 - 0, Ali L. ⚽, Vallejos Y. (A),
45+1', Gomez Saca R. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Guillermo A. ↓, Tellez M. ↑,
46', Ancieta C. ↓, Rodriguez L. ↑,
46', 3 - 0, Gustavo Oliveira ⚽, Ali L. (A),
51', Prieto J. 🟨,
56', Gomez Saca R. 🟨,
57', Mamani J. ↓, Adrian J. ↑,
60', Cuellar Orti R. ↓, Ali Gutierrez J. D. ↑,
63', Adrian J. 🟨,
67', Ali L. ↓, Velasco W. ↑,
71', Montano J. ↓, Andersen L. ↑,
73', 3 - 1, Andersen L. ⚽, Chumacero A. (A),
80', Chumacero A. 🟨,
80', Thomas J. 🟨,
83', Vallejos Y. ↓, Calle G. ↑,
83', Zeballos S. ↓, Ortiz M. ↑,
89', Bobadilla H. 🟨,
90', Castillo G. 🟨,

Preview

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 14 and 15 in the zone Division Profesional (Relegation)).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

In this match, Real Oruro is seen as the favorite.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CDT Real Oruro
Bolivian Copa Pacena
24.06.25	Real Oruro - Real Tomayapo	2:0 ✺
Bolivian Division Profesional
20.06.25	Real Tomayapo - Real Oruro	3:2 ✺
14.06.25	Real Oruro - The Strongest	1:2 ✺
25.05.25	GVCD San José - Real Oruro	0:0 ✺
Bolivian Copa Pacena
22.05.25	Real Oruro - The Strongest	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 WLLTT
- Jorge Wilstermann
Bolivian Copa Pacena
26.06.25	Blooming - Jorge Wilstermann	2:0 ✺
Bolivian Division Profesional
22.06.25	Jorge Wilstermann - Aurora	1:1 ✺
15.06.25	Oriente Petrolero - Jorge Wilstermann	2:0 ✺
27.05.25	Jorge Wilstermann - Real Tomayapo	0:0 ✺
Bolivian Copa Pacena
20.05.25	Nacional Potosí - Jorge Wilstermann	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.3 LTLTW

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