Match Info

BRAZIL: Paulista A4 - Round 13

Date: 12 March 2025, Wednesday


	Joseense		Araçatuba

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.1	3.5
	1.84	3.15	4.2
	1.91	3.02	3.95
	1.94	3.18	3.87	Watch
	1.93	3.26	3.65
	1.84	3.15	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.9 ↓ (1.93)	3.14 ↓ (3.2)	3.9 ↑ (3.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Joseense
47.8%

Draw
28.9%

Araçatuba
23.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47%

28.3%

24.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.7%

27.3%

23.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Joseense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Araçatuba has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Joseense than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Araçatuba than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Joseense - Araçatuba Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
15', 0 - 1, Thalyson ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
67', 0 - 2, Caio Bahia ⚽,

Preview

Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista A4 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista A4 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Joseense could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Joseense will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Joseense
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A4
08.03.25	Inter de Bebedouro - Joseense	1:1 ✺
01.03.25	Joseense - Nacional SP	2:2 ✺
26.02.25	Matonense - Joseense	1:2 ✺
23.02.25	Paulista - Joseense	1:0 ✺
18.02.25	Joseense - Jabaquara	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 TTWLW
- AEA Araçatuba
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A4
07.03.25	Araçatuba - Paulista	0:0 ✺
01.03.25	Jabaquara - Araçatuba	0:1 ✺
22.02.25	Colorado Caieiras - Araçatuba	2:0 ✺
12.02.25	São Caetano - Araçatuba	3:0 ✺
08.02.25	Araçatuba - Barretos	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 TWLLT

Joseense - Araçatuba: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide