Match Info

Liga MX - Clausura - Round 8

Date: 27 February 2026, Friday

Location: Estadio Olímpico Benito Juárez (Juárez)

Referee: Arce V. (Mex)

Where to Watch on TV:


Mexico	Azteca 7, Azteca Deportes, FOX One, Fox Sports
Usa	Estrella TV, Fox Deportes, Fox Deportes, FOX One, Fox Sports App, Foxsports.com, Fox, NBC Universo, Telemundo, UNIVERSO NOW


	Juárez		Atlas

	1	X	2
	2.01	3.4	3.7
	2	3.3	3.6
	2.08	3.25	3.55
	2.09	3.4	4.02
	2	3.44	3.82	Watch
	1.95	3	3.5
	2.13	3.43	3.56	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.04 ↑ (1.98)	3.32 ↑ (3.25)	3.68 ↑ (3.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Juárez
46.1%

Draw
28.3%

Atlas
25.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.1%

28%

25.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.7%

27.8%

26.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Juárez have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Atlas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juárez than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlas than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	20%	20%

Juárez - Atlas Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Juárez will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Atlas will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Juárez (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Atlas (1.68) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Juárez (votes: 1 - 50%). Atlas (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Jurado S. (C) 33. Nevarez Pulgarin F. J. 2. Murillo J. 3. Mosquera M. 4. Mayorga A. 5. Garcia D. 6. Monchu 21. Ricardinho 18. Martinez Yepez H. E. 11. Puma 19. Estupinan O.	12. Vargas C. (G) 3. Gustavo Ferrareis 13. Aguirre G. 28. Capasso M. 21. Schlegel R. 199. Hernandez S. 15. Ramirez P. 26. Rocha A. (C) 6. Zaldivar E. 58. Gonzalez A. 19. Aguirre E.
Substitutes
22. Aquino J. 29. Ayon E. 17. Dupuy L. 13. Fulgencio R. 8. Guilherme Castilho 237. Lopez E. 26. Manriquez J. 10. Pizarro R. 27. Ruiz G. (G) 20. Torres Ramirez I. J. M.	10. del Prete G. 251. Gamboa L. 8. Garcia M. E. 11. Gonzalez D. 4. Mora A. 44. Pier R. 27. Rios De Alba V. H. 9. Rodriguez A. 25. Rodriguez J. 22. Sanchez A. (G)
Coaches
Caixinha P.	Cocca D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
1', 1 - 0, Puma ⚽, Estupinan O. (A),
19', Ricardinho ↓, Torres Ramirez I. J. M. ↑,
24', Jurado S. 🟨,
26', 1 - 1, Gonzalez A. (Penalty Awarded),
33', Garcia D. 🟨,
36', Zaldivar E. 🟨,
45+5', 2 - 1, Garcia D. ⚽, Torres Ramirez I. J. M. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Ramirez P. ↓, Gonzalez D. ↑,
56', Nevarez Pulgarin F. J. 🟨,
65', Zaldivar E. ↓, Garcia M. E. ↑,
65', Aguirre E. ↓, Rodriguez A. ↑,
66', Monchu ↓, Pizarro R. ↑,
66', Estupinan O. ↓, Dupuy L. ↑,
77', Hernandez S. 🟨,
82', Torres Ramirez I. J. M. ↓, Fulgencio R. ↑,
83', Garcia D. ↓, Guilherme Castilho ↑,
83', Gonzalez A. ↓, Gamboa L. ↑,
89', 3 - 1, Gustavo Ferrareis (Own goal),

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 16 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Juárez won 0.

Juárez has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Atlas is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Atlas may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Juárez could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in Juárez: Romero B. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Atlas: Ortega E. (Suspended)

There are questionable in Juárez: Madson (Injury) Ochoa D. (Injury) Torres Ramirez I. J. M. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Atlas: Cruz C. (Knee Injury) Serrato J. (Injury)

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Juárez won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 9:19. (average 0.7:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Juárez won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:8. (average 0.8:1.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Atlas	11	5	3	3	17:18	-1	18
18	Juarez	11	1	1	9	8:26	-18	4

Last Results with these Odds

Atlas - the odds 3.52 are the expected chance of winning is 25.9%, but this team recently wins 20% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Juárez
Mexican Liga MX
14.02.26	Juárez - Necaxa	1:2 ✺
07.02.26	Pachuca - Juárez	2:0 ✺
30.01.26	Juárez - Cruz Azul	3:4 ✺
18.01.26	Santos Laguna - Juárez	2:2 ✺
13.01.26	Juárez - Chivas Guadalajara	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LLLTL
- Club Atlas
Mexican Liga MX
21.02.26	Atlas - Atlético San Luis	3:2 ✺
14.02.26	Pachuca - Atlas	3:1 ✺
07.02.26	Atlas - UNAM	2:2 ✺
31.01.26	Atlas - Mazatlan	1:0 ✺
17.01.26	Necaxa - Atlas	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.6 WLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga MX
03.10.25	Atlas - Juárez	3:1
05.04.25	Atlas - Juárez	1:1
05.07.24	Juárez - Atlas	2:2
28.01.24	Atlas - Juárez	2:1
22.09.23	Juárez - Atlas	1:2
09.04.23	Juárez - Atlas	1:1
16.08.22	Atlas - Juárez	0:1

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