Match Info

Liga MX - Clausura - Round 4

Date: 31 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Jalisco (Guadalajara)

Referee: Perez S. (Mex)

Where to Watch on TV:


Mexico	VIX+, ViX Premium
South-america	ViX Latin America


	Atlas		Mazatlan

	1	X	2
	1.71	3.75	4.5	Watch
	1.77	3.7	4.33
	1.75	3.7	4.25	Watch
	1.82	3.85	4.35
	1.8	3.87	4.17	Watch
	1.75	3.4	3.9
	1.78	3.72	4.14	Watch
	1.73	3.8	4.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.76 ↓ (1.77)	3.72 ↓ (3.98)	4.3 ↑ (4.11)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlas
53.1%

Draw
25.1%

Mazatlan
21.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.3%

23.7%

23%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.9%

23.4%

22.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Mazatlan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlas than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mazatlan than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.5%	0%	12.5%

Atlas - Mazatlan Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.5 - Atlas (1.71) (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Users Predictions: Atlas will win (20 of 23 users predict this - 86.96%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.2% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Atlas will win (16 of 16 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 20 Selected Experts predict this event. Atlas (votes: 20 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Sanchez A. (G) 3. Gustavo Ferrareis 13. Aguirre G. 28. Capasso M. 21. Schlegel R. 199. Hernandez S. 58. Gonzalez A. 26. Rocha A. (C) 27. Rios De Alba V. H. 8. Garcia M. E. 32. Djurdjevic U.	33. Rodriguez R. (G) 11. Barcenas Y. 26. Leyva A. 5. Almada F. 19. Merolla L. 14. Zaleta M. 10. Moreno Villegas O. F. 21. Santos S. 23. Sierra J. (C) 15. Rubio B. 7. Dudu
Substitutes
19. Aguirre E. 10. del Prete G. 251. Gamboa L. 17. Lozano J. 203. Martin J. 4. Mora A. 44. Pier R. 14. Ramos C. (G) 218. San Martin J. 6. Zaldivar E.	13. Alcaraz Diaz V. A. (G) 202. Ben Rhouma A. 4. Diaz J. 235. Estrada J. 25. Godinez S. 28. Hernandez D. 22. Herrera A. 20. Lainez M. 193. Lopez G. 31. Saavedra Nevarez A. A.
Coaches
Cocca D.	Bueno S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
11', 1 - 0, Djurdjevic U. ⚽, Garcia M. E. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
56', Garcia M. E. ↓, Aguirre E. ↑,
69', Gonzalez A. ↓, Zaldivar E. ↑,
69', Barcenas Y. 🟨,
71', Leyva A. ↓, Saavedra Nevarez A. A. ↑,
82', Rubio B. ↓, Ben Rhouma A. ↑,
82', Moreno Villegas O. F. ↓, Hernandez D. ↑,
89', Dudu ↓, Lopez G. ↑,
89', Zaleta M. ↓, Lainez M. ↑,
90', Schlegel R. 🟨,
90+4', Hernandez S. ↓, Mora A. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlas won 1.

In recent matches, Atlas has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Mazatlan is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Atlas may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Atlas is the team to beat.

There will not play in Atlas: Ortega E. (Suspended) Ramirez P. (Red Card)

There are questionable in Atlas: Cruz C. (Knee Injury) Gonzalez D. (Injury) Lozano J. (Muscle Injury) Serrato J. (Injury)

There are questionable in Mazatlan: Castro C. (Injury)

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Atlas won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 12:16. (average 0.9:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Atlas won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:8. (average 1.1:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Atlas	11	5	3	3	17:18	-1	18

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Club Atlas
Mexican Liga MX
17.01.26	Necaxa - Atlas	0:1 ✺
14.01.26	Cruz Azul - Atlas	2:0 ✺
09.01.26	Atlas - Puebla	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
04.01.26	Atlas - Monterrey	1:2 ✺
03.01.26	Atlas - Chivas Guadalajara	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.9 WLWLT
- Mazatlan FC
Mexican Liga MX
16.01.26	Mazatlan - Monterrey	1:5 ✺
13.01.26	Puebla - Mazatlan	2:1 ✺
09.01.26	Mazatlan - Juárez	1:2 ✺
Club Friendly
30.12.25	Tijuana - Mazatlan	0:0 ✺
23.12.25	Santos Laguna - Mazatlan	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LLLTT

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga MX
19.09.25	Mazatlan - Atlas	1:1
28.03.25	Mazatlan - Atlas	3:2
18.10.24	Atlas - Mazatlan	0:0
09.02.24	Mazatlan - Atlas	2:0
Club Friendly
30.12.23	Atlas - Mazatlan	1:0
Mexican Liga MX
20.10.23	Atlas - Mazatlan	1:3
12.01.23	Atlas - Mazatlan	2:1

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