The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Juan Pablo II College 51.2%
Draw 26.2%
Moquegua 22.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
54.3%
25.6%
20.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
55.4%
25.1%
19.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Juan Pablo II College has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)
Moquegua has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juan Pablo II College than the current prediction. (+4.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Moquegua than the current prediction. (-2.9%)
Juan Pablo II College - Moquegua Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 2.75 - under (1.72) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
23. Vega M. (G) 26. Agurto F. 3. Sanchez A. 33. Almiron M. 19. Reyna P. 18. Ramirez E. 37. Rojas A. 60. Miguez P. (C) 79. Goicochea Del Carpio J. P. 15. Ramirez N. 97. Rodriguez M.
1. Grados C. (G) 4. Perleche A. 13. Lojas J. (C) 3. Enciso C. 15. Amasifuen N. 25. Chipao R. 7. Lastre E. 8. Mejia C. 10. Chavez N. 17. Zapata Y. 90. Collazos J.
Substitutes
2. Ancajima H. 20. Bazan H. 28. Duran J. 8. Flores C. 89. Posito J. 12. Quispe I. (G) 31. Toledo J. 88. Torres J. 71. Villanueva C.
11. Bryan Angulo 34. Ferreyra K. 29. Figueroa R. (G) 30. Granda J. 6. Jimenez J. 22. Montenegro E. 14. Ramirez C. 20. Ramirez D. 35. Santillan Vargas E. M.
Coaches
Araujo J.
Serna J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
12', Enciso C. 🟨,
25', Chavez N. 🟥,
29', Almiron M. 🟨,
33', 1 - 0, Ramirez E. ⚽, Miguez P. (A),
44', Zapata Y. 🟨,
45', Agurto F. ↓, Ancajima H. ↑,
45+5', 2 - 0, Enciso C. (Own goal),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Almiron M. ↓, Duran J. ↑,
50', Rodriguez M. 🟨,
57', 3 - 0, Rodriguez M. ⚽, Ramirez E. (A),
60', Collazos J. ↓, Ramirez C. ↑,
65', Ramirez E. ↓, Bazan H. ↑,
65', Rodriguez M. ↓, Posito J. ↑,
70', Goicochea Del Carpio J. P. ↓, Torres J. ↑,
72', Ramirez C. 🟨,
73', Zapata Y. ↓, Santillan Vargas E. M. ↑,
74', Amasifuen N. ↓, Jimenez J. ↑,
82', Lastre E. ↓, Ferreyra K. ↑,
82', Chipao R. ↓, Granda J. ↑,
83', Granda J. 🟨,
85', 4 - 0, Posito J. (Penalty Awarded),
Preview
A mid-table side takes on an opponent fighting to pull away from the danger zone (ranked 11th and 15th).
Juan Pablo II is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Moquegua has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Moquegua may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
In this matchup, Juan Pablo II is considered the favorite to take the win.
In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Juan Pablo II has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 0:3.