Match Info

Primera A - Apertura - Round 15

Date: 3 April 2026, Friday

Location: Estadio Metropolitano Roberto Meléndez (Barranquilla)

Referee: Ortiz A. (Col)

Where to Watch on TV:


Colombia	Win+ Futbol, Win play, Win Sports
South-america	RCN Nuestra Tele Internacional
Usa	Fanatiz, Fubo Latino 2


	Junior Barranquilla		Deportivo Cali

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.5	5	Watch
	1.82	3.35	4.45	Watch
	1.84	3.45	5
	1.84	3.34	4.5	Watch
	1.8	3.2	4.6
	1.7	3.46	5.15	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.79 ↓ (1.85)	3.38 ↓ (3.45)	4.78 ↑ (4.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Junior Barranquilla
52.5%

Draw
27.8%

Deportivo Cali
19.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.5%

27.1%

22.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.2%

26.2%

21.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Junior Barranquilla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Deportivo Cali has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Junior Barranquilla than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Cali than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	33.3%	0%

Junior Barranquilla - Deportivo Cali Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Junior will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Silveira M. (G) 34. Guerrero J. 98. Pena J. 33. Monzon L. 26. Suarez Y. 14. Rios J. 22. Rivas J. 77. Barrios C. 20. Sarmiento J. 88. Castrillon B. 29. Gutierrez T. (C)	38. Rodriguez A. (G) 27. Viafara F. 21. Quinones J. 4. Alvarez F. 2. Aguilar F. 3. Correa A. 6. Pajaro R. 39. Orozco M. 18. Hurtado A. (C) 23. Titi 9. Dinenno J.
Substitutes
21. Canchimbo J. 28. Celis G. 30. Martinez J. (G) 10. Muriel L. 9. Paiva G. 18. Perez K. 5. Rivera D. 38. Shmalbach A. 19. Socarras D.	25. Colorado A. 33. Galindo J. 1. Gallese P. (G) 8. Giraldo D. 28. Luis Orejuela 77. Montoya J. 13. Quintero Y. 10. Reynoso E. 26. Tello J.
Coaches
Arias A.	Dudamel R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
6', Rios J. 🟨,
12', Aguilar F. 🟨,
16', Pena J. 🟨,
22', Hurtado A. (Penalty Awarded),
23', Pajaro R. 🟨,
25', Quinones J. 🟨,
31', 0 - 1, Titi ⚽, Correa A. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Barrios C. ↓, Paiva G. ↑,
46', Pena J. ↓, Rivera D. ↑,
46', Castrillon B. ↓, Perez K. ↑,
46', Pajaro R. ↓, Colorado A. ↑,
54', Gutierrez T. ↓, Muriel L. ↑,
57', Rodriguez A. 🟨,
59', Orozco M. 🟨,
66', Sarmiento J. ↓, Canchimbo J. ↑,
69', Orozco M. ↓, Giraldo D. ↑,
69', Hurtado A. ↓, Reynoso E. ↑,
72', 0 - 2, Titi ⚽, Dinenno J. (A),
74', Arias A. 🟨,
81', Correa A. ↓, Tello J. ↑,
82', Tello J. 🟨,
88', 1 - 2, Muriel L. (Penalty Awarded),
90+2', Dinenno J. ↓, Luis Orejuela ↑,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs: ) and 11).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Junior won 3.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Junior is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Junior won 9 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 31:18. (average 1.6:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Junior won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 20:8. (average 2:0.8).

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Dep. Cali	13	7	4	2	20:9	11	25
17	Junior	12	2	4	6	18:22	-4	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Junior Barranquilla
Colombian Primera A
29.03.26	Inter Bogotá - Junior Barranquilla	0:1 ✺
24.03.26	Junior Barranquilla - Atlético Bucaramanga	2:0 ✺
19.03.26	Independiente Medellín - Junior Barranquilla	2:0 ✺
15.03.26	Junior Barranquilla - Fortaleza CEIF	2:1 ✺
10.03.26	Junior Barranquilla - Atlético Nacional	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WWLWL
- Deportivo Cali
Colombian Primera A
28.03.26	Deportivo Cali - Deportivo Pereira	1:0 ✺
22.03.26	Alianza Valledupar - Deportivo Cali	1:0 ✺
18.03.26	Deportivo Cali - Independiente Santa Fe	1:1 ✺
14.03.26	Cúcuta Deportivo - Deportivo Cali	0:2 ✺
06.03.26	Deportivo Cali - Once Caldas	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Colombian Primera A
12.07.25	Deportivo Cali - Junior Barranquilla	0:2
26.01.25	Junior Barranquilla - Deportivo Cali	0:0
14.11.24	Junior Barranquilla - Deportivo Cali	3:0
28.04.24	Deportivo Cali - Junior Barranquilla	0:0
02.12.23	Deportivo Cali - Junior Barranquilla	0:2
18.11.23	Junior Barranquilla - Deportivo Cali	3:0
06.10.23	Junior Barranquilla - Deportivo Cali	3:2

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