The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Unión Magdalena 21.1%
Draw 29.7%
Junior Barranquilla 49.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
26.8%
31.3%
42%
Our Initial ML Estimation
25.6%
29.9%
44%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Unión Magdalena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Unión Magdalena's form might have worsened.
Junior Barranquilla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Junior Barranquilla's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Unión Magdalena than the current prediction. (+4.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Junior Barranquilla than the current prediction. (-5.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Junior Barranquilla, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
16.7%
33.3%
50%
Unión Magdalena - Junior Barranquilla Predictions
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Unión Magdalena will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Junior will win (votes: 3 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).
1. Mattalia J. (G) 4. Murillo D. 3. Ramos N. 15. Urrego Hector 27. Lerma J. 6. Ortiz D. 24. Cantillo F. (C) 28. Mercado J. 10. Sarmiento J. 9. Iguaran C. 21. Marquez R.
1. Silveira M. (G) 26. Suarez Y. 66. Baez C. 98. Pena J. 34. Guerrero J. 28. Celis G. 16. Esparragoza C. 22. Rivas J. 8. Chara Y. (C) 99. Enamorado J. 23. Titi
Substitutes
8. Colpa Bolano R. R. 16. Congo J. 29. Contreras J. 20. Giraldo J. 80. Hinojosa R. 23. Lastre E. 5. Penaloza J. 25. Sagrera W. 12. Tasso M. (G)
24. Agamez M. 38. Borja S. 88. Castrillon B. 29. Gutierrez T. 3. Herrera E. 30. Martinez J. (G) 6. Moreno D. 5. Rivera D. 17. Salazar J.
Coaches
Silva C.
Arias A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 1)
7', 0 - 1, Enamorado J. ⚽,
22', Celis G. 🟨,
25', 1 - 1, Cantillo F. ⚽, Lerma J. (A),
35', Penaloza J. 🟨,
35', Murillo D. 🟨,
38', 2 - 1, Iguaran C. ⚽, Marquez R. (A),
45', Ortiz D. 🟨,
45+3', Marquez R. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
54', Celis G. ↓, Gutierrez T. ↑,
57', Urrego Hector 🟨,
64', Titi (Pen),
71', Chara Y. ↓, Castrillon B. ↑,
75', Silveira M. 🟥,
77', Iguaran C. ↓, Congo J. ↑,
78', Sarmiento J. ↓, Contreras J. ↑,
79', Titi ↓, Martinez J. ↑,
80', Guerrero J. ↓, Salazar J. ↑,
81', Rivas J. ↓, Moreno D. ↑,
82', 3 - 1, Marquez R. ⚽,
84', Mercado J. ↓, Hinojosa R. ↑,
89', Enamorado J. 🟨,
90+2', Marquez R. ↓, Lastre E. ↑,
90+2', Ortiz D. ↓, Penaloza J. ↑,
Preview
Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 17 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Unión Magdalena won 0.
Unión Magdalena has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Junior's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Junior may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Junior could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Unión Magdalena won 3 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 13:26. (average 0.8:1.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Unión Magdalena won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:7. (average 0.8:0.9).
Colombia
South-america
Usa
Watch
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Mattalia J. (G) 
Murillo D. 
Ramos N. 
Baez C. 
Lastre E. 
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