The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Junior Barranquilla 49.1%
Draw 27.3%
Rionegro Águilas 23.6%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
56.7%
24.8%
18.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
58.1%
24.2%
18.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Junior Barranquilla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Junior Barranquilla's form might have worsened.
Rionegro Águilas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Rionegro Águilas's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Junior Barranquilla than the current prediction. (+9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Junior Barranquilla, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rionegro Águilas than the current prediction. (-5.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Rionegro Águilas, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
1. Silveira M. (G) 34. Socarras D. 98. Pena J. 5. Rivera D. 26. Suarez Y. 80. Angel Bernal F. S. 77. Barrios C. 8. Chara Y. (C) 28. Celis G. 25. Caicedo D. 10. Muriel L.
1. Soto J. (G) 26. Lozano D. 4. Mosquera A. 28. Rodriguez S. 30. Lara Vasquez N. 16. Ramirez M. 19. Lozano F. (C) 6. Rojas I. 32. Mena J. 8. Ricaurte A. 9. Vasquez A.
Substitutes
21. Canchimbo J. 88. Castrillon B. 30. Martinez J. (G) 23. Ortiz P. 9. Paiva G. 18. Perez K. 22. Rivas J. 7. Rivera H. 38. Shmalbach A.
7. Arizalas E. 24. Avalo Trejos J. E. 29. Blandon T. 18. Carreno A. 2. Garcia J. 20. Higgins A. 12. Hurtado J. (G) 27. Londono C. 25. Roa J.
Coaches
Viera S.
Robatto F.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
28', Socarras D. 🟨,
30', Pena J. 🟨,
35', Rodriguez S. 🟨,
45', 1 - 0, Caicedo D. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Rodriguez S. ↓, Carreno A. ↑,
46', Ramirez M. ↓, Arizalas E. ↑,
58', (Penalty overturned),
61', Muriel L. ↓, Paiva G. ↑,
61', Angel Bernal F. S. ↓, Rivas J. ↑,
70', Rojas I. ↓, Roa J. ↑,
70', Lara Vasquez N. ↓, Garcia J. ↑,
70', Celis G. 🟨,
71', Caicedo D. ↓, Canchimbo J. ↑,
71', Barrios C. ↓, Castrillon B. ↑,
84', Carreno A. 🟨,
85', Ricaurte A. ↓, Avalo Trejos J. E. ↑,
86', Chara Y. ↓, Rivera H. ↑,
Preview
A team fighting near the bottom hosts a mid-table side in a match full of urgency (ranked 16th and 11th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Junior won 3.
Junior is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Performances by Rionegro Águilas have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Bookmakers give the edge to Junior for this game.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Junior has recorded 9 wins, 8 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 32:21 (averaging 1.6:1.1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Junior against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses, with 16:12 goals (averaging 1.6:1.2 per game).
Standings
Clausura
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
8
Aguilas
16
5
7
4
21:20
1
22
15
Junior
16
3
7
6
21:24
-3
16
Outrights of Colombian Primera A for now
Junior: 0.55%
Last Results with these Odds
Junior Barranquilla - the odds 1.66 are the expected chance of winning is 56.74%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.
Belarus
Colombia
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Silveira M. (G) 
Socarras D. 
Ramirez M. 
Paiva G. 
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