The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Junior Barranquilla 54.6%
Draw 23.8%
Alianza Valledupar 21.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
50.1%
26.8%
23%
Our Initial ML Estimation
38.9%
20.8%
29.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Junior Barranquilla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)
Alianza Valledupar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Junior Barranquilla than the current prediction. (-15.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Junior Barranquilla that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alianza Valledupar than the current prediction. (+8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Alianza Valledupar could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 1.25, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
22. Montanez J. (G) 11. Arroyo S. 7. Baldovino M. 14. Cardona M. 20. Carrasquilla D. 13. Cordero C. 17. Herrera R. 18. Julio D. 9. Mendoza O. 27. Miranda Y. 3. Romero J.
12. Patino N. (G) 10. Constante S. (C) 14. Diaz H. 24. Gallego M. 99. Garrido E. 5. Gomez L. 28. Jaimes F. 4. Osuna L. 3. Ramos T. 2. Saldarriaga L. 6. Sandoval A.
Substitutes
29. Arias S. 19. Campos J. 16. Castaneda M. 21. De la Hoz D. 12. Gonzalez V. (G) 4. Marin S. 2. Morales M.
8. Cabrales V. 17. Giraldo M. 21. Granados K. 22. Guarnizo G. 20. Mendivelso N. 30. Perez E. 26. Saravia A. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (3 - 1)
3', Miranda Y. 🟨,
20', 1 - 0, Arroyo S. ⚽, Baldovino M. (A),
21', 1 - 1, Sandoval A. ⚽, Garrido E. (A),
25', 2 - 1, Cordero C. ⚽, Arroyo S. (A),
28', Arroyo S. 🟨,
44', 3 - 1, Julio D. ⚽, Mendoza O. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Gomez L. ↓, Cabrales V. ↑,
51', Herrera R. 🟨,
62', 3 - 2, Sandoval A. ⚽,
65', Arroyo S. ↓, De la Hoz D. ↑,
73', 3 - 3, Cabrales V. ⚽,
73', Herrera R. ↓, Morales M. ↑,
78', 4 - 3, Romero J. ⚽,
81', Jaimes F. ↓, Mendivelso N. ↑,
87', Sandoval A. ↓, Granados K. ↑,
87', Diaz H. ↓, Perez E. ↑,
Preview
The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 11 and 13)
Junior is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Alianza has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
In this match, Junior is seen as the favorite.
In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Junior won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:2. (average 2.5:1).