The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Juvenes-Dogana 35.2%
Draw 29.4%
Domagnano 35.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
37.4%
26.7%
35.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
38.9%
25.7%
34.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Juvenes-Dogana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)
Domagnano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juvenes-Dogana than the current prediction. (+3.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Domagnano than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
Juvenes Dogana - Domagnano Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 2)
23', 0 - 1, Bonetti M. ⚽,
26', 0 - 2, Buda G. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
51', 0 - 3, Ghiggini A. (Own goal),
59', Lisi K. 🟥,
89', 1 - 3, Comuniello A. ⚽, Cecchetti L. (A),
90+2', 1 - 4, Buda G. ⚽,
Preview
Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Juvenes-Dogana won 3.
Juvenes-Dogana has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Domagnano is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
Juvenes-Dogana may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Juvenes-Dogana won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 20:13. (average 1.8:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Juvenes-Dogana won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:9. (average 1.6:1.3).