The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Juventud Unida Universitario 46.6%
Draw 32.2%
Círculo Deportivo 21.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
55.8%
27.6%
16.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
57.5%
28.5%
16.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Juventud Unida Universitario has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Juventud Unida Universitario's form might have worsened.
Círculo Deportivo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juventud Unida Universitario than the current prediction. (+10.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Juventud Unida Universitario, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Círculo Deportivo than the current prediction. (-5.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Círculo Deportivo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
1. Lucero J. (G) 10. Aman Campos F. 2. Benenatti J. 7. Chavarria C. 3. Figueroa L. 5. Gomez J. 9. Lucero L. 11. Noguera F. 6. Ojeda G. (C) 8. Perez L. 4. Rosales J.
1. Fernandez P. (G) 8. Banchio R. 7. Bassani J. 3. Buscaglia S. 11. Campagnaro M. 5. Grahl F. 10. Juarez R. 6. Martinez J. 9. Rius C. 2. Rojas F. 4. Vilchez J.
Substitutes
18. Amieva J. 12. Cirrincione E. (G) 16. Dorato M. 14. Garro E. 17. Lima A. 20. Roldan V. 19. Salinas G. 13. Sosa A. 15. Sosa E.
20. Barberini V. 19. Castelli B. 17. Cos B. 15. Gomez L. 12. Lerena S. (G) 13. Lucero J. 18. Sasso M. 14. Torres C. 16. Villalba F.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
90+5', 🟨,
90+9', 🟨,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Juventud Unida won 2.
Juventud Unida is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
In recent matches, Círculo Deportivo has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
In this match, Juventud Unida is a strong favorite.
In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Juventud Unida won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:2. (average 0.9:0.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Juventud Unida won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:0. (average 1.3:0).
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Lucero J. (G) 
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