Match Info

URUGUAY: Segunda Division - Round 21

Date: 7 October 2024, Monday 🏁 Finished


	Juventud de Las Piedras		Atenas de San Carlos

	1	X	2
	2.15	2.87	3.25
	2.22	2.9	3.3
	2.38	2.92	3.22
	2.37	2.96	3.27	Watch
	2.2	2.88	3.3
	2.24	2.9	3.25
	2.22	2.9	3.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.25 ↓ (2.26)	2.9 ↓ (2.95)	3.27 ↑ (3.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Juventud de Las Piedras
40.6%

Draw
31.5%

Atenas de San Carlos
28%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

40.5%

31%

28.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.7%

29.9%

27.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Juventud de Las Piedras has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Atenas de San Carlos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juventud de Las Piedras than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atenas de San Carlos than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
62.5%	25%	12.5%

Juventud de Las Piedras - Atenas de San Carlos Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Juventud will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Atenas will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Juventud: 29% – 96%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
34', 1 - 0, Mimbacas F. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 5 and 12).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Juventud won 2.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Juventud could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Juventud will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Juventud won 6 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 18:12 (average 1.6:1.1).

Including matches at home between the teams Juventud won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4:2 (average 0.8:0.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Juventud de Las Piedras
Uruguayan Segunda Division
30.09.24	Montevideo City Torque - Juventud de Las Piedras	3:0 ✺
25.09.24	Juventud de Las Piedras - Albion Montevideo	0:0 ✺
21.09.24	Colón Montevideo - Juventud de Las Piedras	3:0 ✺
15.09.24	Juventud de Las Piedras - Sud América	1:0 ✺
07.09.24	La Luz - Juventud de Las Piedras	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 LTLWW
- Atenas de San Carlos
Uruguayan Segunda Division
29.09.24	Atenas de San Carlos - Rentistas	2:0 ✺
25.09.24	Montevideo City Torque - Atenas de San Carlos	3:2 ✺
21.09.24	Atenas de San Carlos - Cooper	1:1 ✺
13.09.24	Albion Montevideo - Atenas de San Carlos	1:0 ✺
08.09.24	Atenas de San Carlos - Tacuarembó	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 WLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Segunda Division
23.06.24	Atenas de San Carlos - Juventud de Las Piedras	1:3
22.10.23	Atenas de San Carlos - Juventud de Las Piedras	1:2
03.06.23	Juventud de Las Piedras - Atenas de San Carlos	1:1
20.08.22	Atenas de San Carlos - Juventud de Las Piedras	2:1
24.05.22	Juventud de Las Piedras - Atenas de San Carlos	0:0
19.03.22	Juventud de Las Piedras - Atenas de San Carlos	0:0
05.08.21	Atenas de San Carlos - Juventud de Las Piedras	4:1

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