Match Info

URUGUAY: SEGUNDA DIVISION - ROUND 26

Date: 3 December 2023, Sunday


	Juventud de Las Piedras		Bella Vista

	1	X	2
	2.8	3.25	2.15
	2.95	3.3	2.2
	2.67	3.37	2.35
	2.61	3.37	2.35
	2.88	3.25	2.15
	2.75	3.36	2.27
	2.9	3.3	2.21
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.79 ↑ (2)	3.31 ↓ (3.39)	2.24 ↓ (3.29)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Juventud de Las Piedras
32.4%

Draw
27.3%

Bella Vista
40.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.5%

26.9%

27.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47%

26%

26.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Juventud de Las Piedras has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Juventud de Las Piedras's form might have worsened.

Bella Vista has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Bella Vista's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juventud de Las Piedras than the current prediction. (+14.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Juventud de Las Piedras, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bella Vista than the current prediction. (-13.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Bella Vista, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	20%	80%

Juventud de Las Piedras - Bella Vista Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Bella Vista will win (votes: 4 - 80%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 7 and 12).

Juventud has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Bella Vista is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Juventud will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Juventud won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Juventud won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Juventud de Las Piedras
Uruguayan Segunda Division
29.11.23	Rentistas - Juventud de Las Piedras	0:0 ✺
26.11.23	Juventud de Las Piedras - Miramar Misiones	0:1 ✺
18.11.23	Progreso - Juventud de Las Piedras	2:1 ✺
14.11.23	Juventud de Las Piedras - Uruguay Montevideo	0:2 ✺
11.11.23	Albion Montevideo - Juventud de Las Piedras	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 TLLLL
- CA Bella Vista
Uruguayan Segunda Division
29.11.23	Bella Vista - Atenas de San Carlos	1:1 ✺
26.11.23	Rampla Juniors - Bella Vista	2:0 ✺
18.11.23	Bella Vista - Oriental de La Paz	0:3 ✺
15.11.23	Cerrito - Bella Vista	2:1 ✺
12.11.23	Bella Vista - Potencia	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 TLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Segunda Division
29.07.23	Bella Vista - Juventud de Las Piedras	1:2
25.03.23	Bella Vista - Juventud de Las Piedras	0:2
Uruguayan Primera Division
30.03.13	Bella Vista - Juventud de Las Piedras	5:2
07.10.12	Juventud de Las Piedras - Bella Vista	2:0

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