Match Info

URUGUAY: SEGUNDA DIVISION - ROUND 22

Date: 15 November 2023, Wednesday


	Cerrito		Bella Vista

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.1	2.85
	2.3	3.2	2.85
	2.41	3.15	2.84
	2.41	3.15	2.84
	2.25	3.1	2.8
	2.36	3.04	2.88
	2.22	3.2	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.31 ↑ (2.16)	3.13 ↓ (3.15)	2.87 ↓ (3.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cerrito
39.4%

Draw
29%

Bella Vista
31.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.3%

29%

28.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.7%

28.1%

27.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cerrito has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Bella Vista has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cerrito than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bella Vista than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	50%	50%

Cerrito - Bella Vista Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Bella Vista will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

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Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 11 and 12).

Cerrito has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Bella Vista is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Cerrito won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Cerrito won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CS Cerrito
Uruguayan Segunda Division
12.11.23	Rentistas - Cerrito	1:1 ✺
04.11.23	Cerrito - Miramar Misiones	1:6 ✺
Uruguay Copa
29.10.23	Cerrito - Defensor Sporting	0:3 ✺
Uruguayan Segunda Division
26.10.23	Progreso - Cerrito	4:2 ✺
21.10.23	Cerrito - Uruguay Montevideo	2:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 TLLLL
- CA Bella Vista
Uruguayan Segunda Division
12.11.23	Bella Vista - Potencia	1:1 ✺
05.11.23	Tacuarembó - Bella Vista	3:0 ✺
27.10.23	Rentistas - Bella Vista	0:1 ✺
20.10.23	Bella Vista - Miramar Misiones	0:1 ✺
15.10.23	Progreso - Bella Vista	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 TLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Segunda Division
01.07.23	Bella Vista - Cerrito	3:2
09.04.23	Bella Vista - Cerrito	2:0
22.09.19	Cerrito - Bella Vista	2:0
Uruguayan Primera Division
25.03.12	Cerrito - Bella Vista	3:2

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