Match Info

URUGUAY: SEGUNDA DIVISION - ROUND 23

Date: 18 November 2023, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Bella Vista		Oriental de La Paz

	1	X	2
	2.45	3	2.6	Watch
	2.5	3.1	2.65
	2.67	2.78	2.85
	2.67	2.78	2.85
	2.45	3	2.6
	2.52	3.06	2.64
	2.6	3	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.55 ↓ (2.62)	2.96 ↓ (3)	2.68 ↑ (2.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bella Vista
35.6%

Draw
30.6%

Oriental de La Paz
33.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

34.6%

30.1%

35.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.8%

29.9%

35.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bella Vista has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Oriental de La Paz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bella Vista than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oriental de La Paz than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Bella Vista - Oriental de La Paz Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 12 and 6).

Bella Vista is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Oriental is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Oriental could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Bella Vista won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Bella Vista
Uruguayan Segunda Division
15.11.23	Cerrito - Bella Vista	2:1 ✺
12.11.23	Bella Vista - Potencia	1:1 ✺
05.11.23	Tacuarembó - Bella Vista	3:0 ✺
27.10.23	Rentistas - Bella Vista	0:1 ✺
20.10.23	Bella Vista - Miramar Misiones	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 LTLWL
- Oriental de La Paz
Uruguayan Segunda Division
15.11.23	Oriental de La Paz - Rentistas	1:4 ✺
11.11.23	Miramar Misiones - Oriental de La Paz	1:0 ✺
03.11.23	Oriental de La Paz - Progreso	0:2 ✺
Uruguay Copa
30.10.23	Oriental de La Paz - Racing Montevideo	1:0 ✺
Uruguayan Segunda Division
25.10.23	Uruguay Montevideo - Oriental de La Paz	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19 LLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Segunda Division
08.07.23	Oriental de La Paz - Bella Vista	0:2

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Oriental de La Paz
Uruguayan Segunda Division
01.11.26	Oriental de La Paz - Paysandú	✺

Bella Vista - Oriental de La Paz