Match Info

Primera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 9

Date: 24 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estadio Municipal El Pozuelo (Torremolinos) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Angelov A. (Bul)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Spain	13:00	DAZN Espana, Footballclub


	Juventud de Torremolinos		Real Murcia

	1	X	2
	3.20	3.30	2.00
	3.30	3.30	1.93
	3.35	3.20	1.98
	3.48	3.49	2.01
	3.24	3.45	2.12	Watch
	3.35	3.45	1.99
	3.34	3.44	2.09
	3.55	3.40	1.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.35 ↓ (3.94)	3.38 ↓ (3.64)	2.01 ↑ (1.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Juventud de Torremolinos
27.3%

Draw
27.1%

Real Murcia
45.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

23.5%

25.5%

51%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.7%

24.6%

52.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Juventud de Torremolinos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

Real Murcia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Real Murcia might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juventud de Torremolinos than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Murcia than the current prediction. (+7.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Real Murcia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Juventud de Torremolinos - Real Murcia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Belman (G) 4. Barboza M. 3. Krug M. 24. Grozdanic E. 21. Diaby M. 6. Climent A. 5. Merida Palomino J. 10. Rodriguez C. 2. Ajegun Perez R. 9. Dioni (C) 20. Dorgu I.	13. Jimenez D. (G) 2. Mier J. 6. Gonzalez A. (C) 5. Rojas J. 3. Romero C. 14. Joao Pedro Palmberg 8. Mier J. 10. Nunez C. 22. Olmedo V. 20. Gimenez A. 18. Diao U.
Substitutes
22. Brandes J. 12. Buch O. 13. Cuenca J. (G) 11. Laca I. 27. Matiti I. 14. Moubeke D. 8. Perez P. 23. Petersson M. A. 19. Prevedini M. 16. Sanchez M.	23. Bosilj D. 11. Bustos A. 21. Errahaly M. 19. Jorquera Romero J. 40. Meca A. 17. Moreno Sanchez J. 7. Moyita S. 4. Perez H. 1. Pineiro del Alamo D. (G) 24. Sanchez J. G. 27. Yoldi A.
Coaches
Barny J.	Guillo S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
1', Olmedo V. 🟨,
8', Rodriguez C. 🟨,
14', Diaby M. 🟨,
34', Mier J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Diaby M. ↓, Sanchez M. ↑,
49', Diao U. 🟨,
56', Diao U. ↓, Moreno Sanchez J. ↑,
56', Ajegun Perez R. ↓, Matiti I. ↑,
57', Merida Palomino J. ↓, Brandes J. ↑,
65', Olmedo V. ↓, Perez H. ↑,
65', Joao Pedro Palmberg ↓, Bosilj D. ↑,
65', Nunez C. ↓, Moyita S. ↑,
65', Dorgu I. ↓, Perez P. ↑,
72', Mier J. ↓, Errahaly M. ↑,
73', Joao Pedro Palmberg 🟨,
76', Errahaly M. 🟨,
78', 1 - 0, Perez P. ⚽, Matiti I. (A),
83', Rodriguez C. ↓, Prevedini M. ↑,
90+1', Climent A. 🟨,

Preview

A lower-table team faces a stern test hosting a top-ranking contender (ranked 20th in the Relegation and 3rd in the Promotion - Primera RFEF - Promotion Play Offs).

Torremolinos is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Performances by Murcia have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Murcia holding a narrow advantage.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Torremolinos has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 1:4 (averaging 0.5:2 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Torremolinos against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 1:3 goals.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Murcia	9	5	1	3	11:8	3	16
19	Torremolinos	9	1	3	5	11:20	-9	6

Last Results with these Odds

Real Murcia - the odds 1.82 are the expected chance of winning is 50.97%, but this team recently wins 45% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Juventud de Torremolinos CF
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
18.10.26	Sant Andreu - Juventud de Torremolinos	2:2 ✺
10.10.26	Juventud de Torremolinos - Gimnástic de Tarragona	2:2 ✺
03.10.26	Alcorcón - Juventud de Torremolinos	5:0 ✺
26.09.26	Juventud de Torremolinos - Algeciras	1:2 ✺
20.09.26	Hércules - Juventud de Torremolinos	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 TTLLL
- Real Murcia
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
18.10.26	Real Murcia - Zaragoza	0:0 ✺
11.10.26	Rayo Majadahonda - Real Murcia	0:1 ✺
07.10.26	Cartagena - Real Murcia	1:0 ✺
04.10.26	Real Murcia - Gimnástic de Tarragona	2:0 ✺
Spanish Copa Federacion
30.09.26	Navalcarnero - Real Murcia	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 TWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
16.05.26	Juventud de Torremolinos - Real Murcia	1:3
07.09.25	Real Murcia - Juventud de Torremolinos	1:0

Juventud de Torremolinos - Real Murcia