The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Real Murcia 37.3%
Draw 28.2%
Zaragoza 34.5%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
34.7%
27.7%
37.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
34.5%
27.5%
38%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Real Murcia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)
Zaragoza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Murcia than the current prediction. (-2.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zaragoza than the current prediction. (+3.5%)
Real Murcia - Zaragoza Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
13. Jimenez D. (G) 2. Mier J. 4. Perez H. 6. Gonzalez A. (C) 3. Romero C. 8. Mier J. 10. Nunez C. 14. Joao Pedro Palmberg 17. Moreno Sanchez J. 23. Bosilj D. 19. Jorquera Romero J.
1. Westerveld S. (G) 2. Gabilondo J. 14. Rubo 21. Gonzalez D. 18. Escudero S. (C) 11. Jardi J. 19. Jamelli 16. Terrer L. 6. Ademo P. 23. Urena O. 22. Espiau Hernandez E. D.
Substitutes
11. Bustos A. 21. Errahaly M. 20. Gimenez A. 40. Meca A. 7. Moyita S. 22. Olmedo V. 1. Pineiro del Alamo D. (G) 5. Rojas J. 24. Sanchez J. G. 27. Yoldi A.
4. Barrachina H. 7. Cuenca M. A. 20. Delgado J. 8. Herrera A. 13. Pena A. (G) 3. Pereira R. 10. Pinilla H. 15. Saidu Y. 25. Sangalli M. 9. Sans P. 5. Tachi 31. Tobajas J.
Coaches
Guillo S.
Ibai
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
14', Escudero S. 🟨,
45', Ademo P. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
56', Escudero S. ↓, Sangalli M. ↑,
64', Mier J. 🟨,
68', Jamelli ↓, Herrera A. ↑,
69', Espiau Hernandez E. D. ↓, Sans P. ↑,
69', Nunez C. ↓, Bustos A. ↑,
69', Bosilj D. ↓, Gimenez A. ↑,
73', Herrera A. 🟨,
77', Mier J. ↓, Olmedo V. ↑,
77', Joao Pedro Palmberg ↓, Moyita S. ↑,
82', Ademo P. 🟨,
85', Urena O. ↓, Saidu Y. ↑,
85', Jardi J. ↓, Barrachina H. ↑,
87', Sans P. 🟨,
90+6', Perez H. 🟨,
Preview
One of the standout fixtures of the round, featuring two top-tier sides (ranked 4th in the Promotion - Primera RFEF - Promotion Play Offs and 2nd in the Promotion - Primera RFEF - Promotion Play Offs).
Murcia has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Zaragoza is in superb form heading into this trip (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Murcia may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, Murcia has recorded 0 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 1:2 (averaging 0.3:0.7 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Murcia against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with 1:2 goals (averaging 0.5:1 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
2
Zaragoza
9
6
2
1
17:10
7
20
4
Murcia
9
5
1
3
11:8
3
16
Last Results with these Odds
Real Murcia - the odds 2.67 are the expected chance of winning is 34.75%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.