Match Info

BRAZIL: SERIE A - ROUND 35

Date: 2 November 2022, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Alfredo Jaconi (Caxias do Sul)

Referee: de Lima M. (Bra)


	Juventude		Coritiba

	1	X	2
	2.5	3.2	2.9	Watch
	2.55	3.2	2.87
	2.63	3.2	2.75
	2.47	3.1	2.8
	2.59	3.3	2.96
	2.5	3	2.88	Watch
	2.53	3.16	2.86	Watch
	2.5	3.2	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.53 ↓ (2.73)	3.17 ↑ (3.06)	2.86 ↑ (2.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Juventude
37.2%

Draw
29.8%

Coritiba
33%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.7%

30%

36.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.3%

29.5%

35.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Juventude has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

Coritiba has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juventude than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Coritiba than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
35.3%	26.5%	38.2%

Juventude - Coritiba Predictions

Users Predictions: 34 users predict this event. Juventude will win (votes: 12 - 35.3%). Coritiba will win (votes: 13 - 38.2%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 26.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Coritiba: 21.9% – 54.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Juventude has the most likely position - 20 (98.4%), has project points - 25, has currently - 21, was already of relegated.

Coritiba has the most likely position - 15 (29.63%), has project points - 39, has currently - 35, has a chance of relegated (41%), has not chance of win league.

This event has quality 37, importance 41, match rating 39. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Two teams are in a poor body shape now.

Coritiba could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

There will not play in Juventude: Anderson Leite (Injury)

There will not play in Coritiba: Andrey (Knee Injury) Fabricio Daniel (Injury) Guillermo de Los Santos (Red Card) Kauan (Injury) Willian Farias (Injury)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Juventude won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Juventude won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- EC Juventude
Brazilian Serie A
27.10.22	Atlético Mineiro - Juventude	1:0 ✺
23.10.22	Juventude - São Paulo	1:2 ✺
16.10.22	Juventude - Atlético Goianiense	1:1 ✺
10.10.22	Santos - Juventude	4:1 ✺
04.10.22	Juventude - Corinthians	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 LLTLT
- Coritiba
Brazilian Serie A
27.10.22	Fortaleza - Coritiba	3:1 ✺
23.10.22	Coritiba - Internacional RS	1:1 ✺
20.10.22	São Paulo - Coritiba	3:1 ✺
16.10.22	Athletico Paranaense - Coritiba	1:0 ✺
09.10.22	Coritiba - Red Bull Bragantino	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 LTLLW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie A
10.07.22	Coritiba - Juventude	2:2
Brazilian Serie B
05.10.18	Coritiba - Juventude	2:1
11.06.18	Juventude - Coritiba	1:1
Copa do Brasil
19.05.16	Coritiba - Juventude	2:2
11.05.16	Juventude - Coritiba	1:0

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