The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Coritiba 34.2%
Draw 30.6%
Internacional RS 35.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
38.6%
30.7%
30.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
38.5%
30.6%
30.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Coritiba has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)
Internacional RS has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Coritiba than the current prediction. (+4.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Internacional RS than the current prediction. (-4.4%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
22.2%
55.6%
22.2%
Coritiba - Internacional RS Predictions
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Coritiba will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Internacional will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 23.1% – 88.1%.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Internacional (votes: 3 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
22. Pedro Rangel (G) 2. Tinga 55. Jacy 26. Bruno Melo 6. Felipe Jonatan 19. Gomez S. (C) 36. Vini Paulista 11. Lucas Ronier 10. Josue 7. Lavega J. 32. Pedro Rocha
1. Rochet S. (G) 31. Allex 15. Bruno Gomes 4. Torres F. 41. Victor Gabriel 6. Matheus Bahia 7. Carbonero J. 8. Bruno Henrique (C) 5. Villagra R. 26. Bernabei A. 9. Alerrandro
Substitutes
33. Alves D. 67. Benassi (G) 14. Enzo Vagner 88. Fernando Sobral 87. Gabriel Leite (G) 39. Gustavo 44. Joao Pedro Chermont 86. Lucas Taverna 78. Renato Marques 4. Rodrigo Moledo 8. Wallisson 29. Willian Oliveira
35. Aguirre B. 10. Alan Patrick 12. Anthoni (G) 19. Borre R. 17. Bruno Tabata 53. de Morais Francisco L. F. 18. Juninho 11. Kayky 14. Rodriguez A. 16. Ronaldo 29. Thiago Maia 28. Vitinho
Coaches
Fernando Seabra
Pezzolano P.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
17', Lucas Ronier 🟨,
28', 1 - 0, Lavega J. ⚽, Josue (A),
29', Rochet S. 🟨,
45', Torres F. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Allex ↓, Vitinho ↑,
62', Matheus Bahia ↓, Borre R. ↑,
64', Vini Paulista ↓, Wallisson ↑,
64', Lavega J. ↓, Rodrigo Moledo ↑,
68', Fernando Seabra 🟨,
69', 1 - 1, Borre R. ⚽,
75', Josue ↓, Gustavo ↑,
81', Pedro Rocha ↓, Renato Marques ↑,
81', Felipe Jonatan ↓, Fernando Sobral ↑,
81', Alerrandro ↓, Bruno Tabata ↑,
81', Carbonero J. ↓, Alan Patrick ↑,
81', Bruno Henrique ↓, Thiago Maia ↑,
83', Victor Gabriel 🟨,
84', 2 - 1, Rodrigo Moledo ⚽, Tinga (A),
90+6', 2 - 2, Torres F. ⚽,
Preview
This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: ) and 12).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Coritiba won 1.
Coritiba has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Internacional is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Coritiba may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Coritiba has had a series of away games.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
There will not play in Coritiba: Fabinho
(Inactive)
Keno
(Knee Injury)
Pedro Morisco
(Shoulder Injury)
Rodrigo Rodrigues
(Ankle Injury)
Thiago Santos
(Yellow Cards)
Tiago Coser
(Red Card)
There will not play in Internacional: Mercado G.
(Hamstring Injury)
Rochet S.
(Calf Injury)
There are questionable in Internacional: Rodriguez A.
(Muscle Injury)
In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Coritiba won 2 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 12:23. (average 0.8:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Coritiba won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:6. (average 0.5:0.8).
Outrights of Brazilian Serie A for now
Coritiba: 0.04%
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
10
Coritiba
29
10
8
11
37:47
-10
38
17
Internacional
30
7
11
12
33:38
-5
32
Last Results with these Odds
Coritiba - the odds 2.39 are the expected chance of winning is 38.61%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.
Internacional RS - the odds 3 are the expected chance of winning is 30.69%, but this team recently wins 20% of matches with these odds.