Match Info

Date: 22 January 2021, Friday


	Juventude		Figueirense

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.2	3.8	Watch
	1.9	3.2	3.7
	1.96	3.1	3.55	Watch
	2	3.2	3.6
	2.1	3.3	3.92
	2.05	3.2	3.6
	2.02	3.45	3.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.01 ↑ (1.81)	3.24 ↓ (3.38)	3.69 ↓ (4.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Juventude
46.1%

Draw
28.7%

Figueirense
25.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.5%

27.6%

20.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.3%

21.8%

16.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Juventude has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Juventude's form might have worsened.

Figueirense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juventude than the current prediction. (+19.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Juventude, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Figueirense than the current prediction. (-8.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Figueirense, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
58.1%	9.7%	32.3%

Juventude - Figueirense Predictions

Users Predictions: 31 users predict this event. Juventude will win (votes: 18 - 58.1%). Figueirense will win (votes: 10 - 32.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 9.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Juventude: 40.7% – 75.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Recent matches Juventude is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Figueirense is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Juventude could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Juventude is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Juventude won 0 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Juventude won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- EC Juventude
Brazilian Serie B
19.01.21	Avaí - Juventude	5:2 ✺
16.01.21	Juventude - Cruzeiro	1:0 ✺
12.01.21	Brasil de Pelotas - Juventude	2:1 ✺
05.01.21	Cuiabá - Juventude	1:0 ✺
30.12.20	Juventude - Ponte Preta	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 LWLLW
- Figueirense
Brazilian Serie B
19.01.21	CRB Maceio - Figueirense	5:1 ✺
15.01.21	Figueirense - Brasil de Pelotas	3:0 ✺
12.01.21	Chapecoense - Figueirense	2:1 ✺
08.01.21	Figueirense - CS Alagoano	0:0 ✺
02.01.21	Osasco Sporting - Figueirense	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LWLTL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
25.10.20	Figueirense - Juventude	1:1
11.08.18	Juventude - Figueirense	0:0
13.04.18	Figueirense - Juventude	2:1
17.11.17	Juventude - Figueirense	0:0
01.08.17	Figueirense - Juventude	2:2

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