Match Info

Date: 15 January 2021, Friday


	Figueirense		Brasil de Pelotas

	1	X	2
	2.2	2.9	3.75	Watch
	2.2	2.85	3.3	Watch
	2.16	2.9	3.55
	2.37	3.04	3.56
	2.2	2.88	3.6
	2.22	3.08	3.52
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.23 ↑ (1.97)	2.94 ↓ (3.07)	3.55 ↓ (4.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Figueirense
42%

Draw
31.7%

Brasil de Pelotas
26.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.6%

30.6%

21.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.3%

20.7%

32.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Figueirense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Figueirense's form might have worsened.

Brasil de Pelotas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Figueirense than the current prediction. (-9.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Figueirense that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brasil de Pelotas than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Brasil de Pelotas could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
38.5%	38.5%	23.1%

Figueirense - Brasil de Pelotas Predictions

Users Predictions: 39 users predict this event. Figueirense will win (votes: 15 - 38.5%). Brasil de Pelotas will win (votes: 9 - 23.1%). It will Tie (votes: 15 - 38.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Figueirense: 23.2% – 53.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation to Serie C and 10).

Recent matches Figueirense is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Brasil de Pelotas is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Figueirense will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Figueirense won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Figueirense won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Figueirense
Brazilian Serie B
12.01.21	Chapecoense - Figueirense	2:1 ✺
08.01.21	Figueirense - CS Alagoano	0:0 ✺
02.01.21	Osasco Sporting - Figueirense	2:1 ✺
26.12.20	Figueirense - Avaí	2:0 ✺
20.12.20	Guaraní Asuncion - Figueirense	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 LTLWT
- Brasil de Pelotas
Brazilian Serie B
12.01.21	Brasil de Pelotas - Juventude	2:1 ✺
08.01.21	Brasil de Pelotas - Avaí	0:1 ✺
03.01.21	Chapecoense - Brasil de Pelotas	0:0 ✺
28.12.20	Brasil de Pelotas - Confiança	1:0 ✺
21.12.20	Paraná Clube Curitiba - Brasil de Pelotas	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21 WLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
19.09.19	Brasil de Pelotas - Figueirense	2:2
14.05.19	Figueirense - Brasil de Pelotas	1:0
24.08.18	Figueirense - Brasil de Pelotas	1:1
01.05.18	Brasil de Pelotas - Figueirense	1:0
04.11.17	Figueirense - Brasil de Pelotas	2:0
14.07.17	Brasil de Pelotas - Figueirense	1:2

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