The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Juventude 40.7%
Draw 30.3%
Chapecoense 29%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
49%
28.5%
22.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
49.3%
28.3%
22.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Juventude has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Juventude's form might have worsened.
Chapecoense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Chapecoense's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juventude than the current prediction. (+8.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Juventude, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chapecoense than the current prediction. (-6.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Chapecoense, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Juventude - Chapecoense Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
12. Pedro Rocha (G) 2. Bernardo Toffolo 10. Davi Goes 6. Diogo Barbosa 4. Gabriel Pinheiro 7. Joao Scatolin 8. Ly I. 5. Mateus Schaffer 9. MP 3. Nathan Santos 11. Ray Breno
1. Anderson (G) 6. Da Silva 7. Godoy K. 9. Joao Bom 4. Kauan 2. Kaue 3. Marcos Vinicius 5. Miguel 8. Milani M. 11. Rodrigo 10. Wermeson
Substitutes
17. Borges G. 20. Carlinhos 23. Clebio 13. Costa K. 22. Eduardo L. 14. Henrique M. 19. Joao Trevisol 15. Kaynan 21. Leo Agliardi (G) 18. Lucca 16. Luiz Henrique
19. Bernardo Zortea 14. Felipe L. 21. Ferreira T. 22. Gleidson 12. Kaina (G) 17. Mancha 18. Marcinho 15. Vinicius Eduardo 16. Yago
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Ray Breno ↓, Lucca ↑,
46', Diogo Barbosa ↓, Kaynan ↑,
46', Mateus Schaffer ↓, Costa K. ↑,
49', Godoy K. 🟨,
61', Milani M. ↓, Ferreira T. ↑,
62', Godoy K. ↓, Yago ↑,
66', Gabriel Pinheiro 🟨,
69', Davi Goes ↓, Luiz Henrique ↑,
76', Bernardo Toffolo ↓, Carlinhos ↑,
77', Da Silva ↓, Mancha ↑,
77', Rodrigo ↓, Gleidson ↑,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Juventude won 3.
Both teams are struggling and far from their best.
Juventude may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Juventude is a strong favorite.
In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Juventude won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:2. (average 1:0.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Juventude won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 0.7:0.3).
Watch
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Pedro Rocha (G) 
Ly I. 
Carlinhos 
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