Match Info

Serie A Betano - Round 12

Date: 11 October 2025, Saturday

Location: Allianz Parque (Sao Paulo)

Referee: Lacerda D. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 1
Brazil	Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
China	K-Ball
Croatia	Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
Kosovo	Arena Premium 3
Mexico	Fanatiz
Portugal	Canal 11
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	Arena Premium 3
Usa	Fanatiz


	Palmeiras		Juventude

	1	X	2
	1.22	6	15	Watch
	1.18	7.25	16.5
	1.24	4.95	14.5
	1.25	6.03	13.48
	1.23	5.66	14.07	Watch
	1.26	5.76	12.9	Watch
	1.17	6.4	15
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.22 ↑ (1.18)	6.01 ↓ (6.72)	14.49 ↓ (15.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Palmeiras
77.7%

Draw
15.8%

Juventude
6.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

79.9%

14%

6.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Palmeiras has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Juventude has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Palmeiras - Juventude Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 6.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Weverton (G) 3. Bruno Fuchs 13. Micael 26. Murilo 4. Giay A. 23. Raphael Veiga (C) 8. Pereira A. 22. Piquerez J. 18. Mauricio 7. Felipe Anderson 11. Bruno Rodrigues	13. Jandrei (G) 93. Reginaldo 23. Abner 34. Rodrigo Sam 22. Marcelo Hermes 95. Caique Goncalves 32. Igor Formiga 16. Jadson (C) 6. Sforza J. 97. Enio 9. Gilberto
Substitutes
40. Allan 43. Benedetti 1. Carlos Miguel (G) 45. Erick Bele 52. Gilberto Junior 57. Heittor 6. Jefte 48. Larson 31. Luighi 50. Luis Felipe 14. Marcelo Lomba (G) 37. Ramon	28. Alan Ruschel 43. Bernardo 87. Edison Negueba 19. Gabriel Taliari 11. Giovanny 55. Hudson 47. Marcos Paulo 10. Nene 72. Peixoto 99. Rafael Bilu 21. Ruan Carneiro (G) 90. Scatolin J.
Coaches
Abel Ferreira	Thiago Carpini

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
27', 1 - 0, Raphael Veiga ⚽,
43', Rodrigo Sam 🟨,
44', 2 - 0, Bruno Rodrigues ⚽, Murilo (A),
2nd Half (2 - 1)
48', 3 - 0, Bruno Fuchs ⚽, Raphael Veiga (A),
53', Sforza J. ↓, Nene ↑,
54', Reginaldo ↓, Rafael Bilu ↑,
54', Enio ↓, Gabriel Taliari ↑,
56', 4 - 0, Felipe Anderson ⚽, Mauricio (A),
63', Gilberto ↓, Alan Ruschel ↑,
65', Bruno Rodrigues ↓, Luighi ↑,
65', Bruno Fuchs ↓, Allan ↑,
71', Micael 🟨,
77', 4 - 1, Rodrigo Sam ⚽, Nene (A),
81', Felipe Anderson ↓, Jefte ↑,
82', Raphael Veiga ↓, Erick Bele ↑,
82', Alan Ruschel 🟨,
84', Abner ↓, Peixoto ↑,
85', Pereira A. ↓, Luis Felipe ↑,

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: ) and 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Palmeiras won 4.

Palmeiras is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Juventude has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Palmeiras is the obvious favorite.

There will not play in Palmeiras: Gomez G. (Yellow Cards) Khellven (Foot Injury) Lucas Evangelista (Hamstring Injury) Martinez E. (Yellow Cards) Paulinho (Leg Injury) Vitor Roque (Yellow Cards)

There will not play in Juventude: Angel W. (Thigh Injury) Gabriel Veron (Hamstring Injury) Mandaca (Red Card) Nata (Hamstring Injury)

There are questionable in Juventude: Emerson Galego (Ankle Injury)

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Palmeiras won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 17:6. (average 2.8:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Palmeiras won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:3. (average 2:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Palmeiras
Brazilian Serie A
05.10.25	São Paulo - Palmeiras	2:3 ✺
01.10.25	Palmeiras - Vasco da Gama	3:0 ✺
28.09.25	Bahia - Palmeiras	1:0 ✺
Copa Libertadores
24.09.25	Palmeiras - River Plate	3:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
20.09.25	Palmeiras - Fortaleza	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WWLWW
- EC Juventude
Brazilian Serie A
05.10.25	Juventude - Fortaleza	1:2 ✺
30.09.25	Atlético Mineiro - Juventude	0:0 ✺
27.09.25	Juventude - Internacional RS	1:1 ✺
21.09.25	Mirassol - Juventude	2:0 ✺
14.09.25	Juventude - Flamengo	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 LTTLL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie A
20.10.24	Juventude - Palmeiras	3:5
23.06.24	Palmeiras - Juventude	3:1
10.09.22	Palmeiras - Juventude	2:1
21.05.22	Juventude - Palmeiras	0:3
03.10.21	Palmeiras - Juventude	1:1
16.06.21	Juventude - Palmeiras	0:3

Upcoming Matches