Match Info

Date: 7 August 2020, Friday


	Juventus		Lyon

	1	X	2
	1.53	4.2	6
	1.53	4.33	6
	1.55	4.5	6.5
	1.53	4.1	6.2
	1.53	4.48	6.44
	1.52	4.4	6
	1.55	4.85	6.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↑ (1.43)	4.41 ↓ (4.64)	6.26 ↓ (7.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 0.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Juventus
62.8%

Draw
21.8%

Lyon
15.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.9%

20.6%

12.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.7%

11.6%

22.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Juventus has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

Lyon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juventus than the current prediction. (-25.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Juventus that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lyon than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lyon could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Juventus - Lyon Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 0-1. No spectators.

Juventus was already of round of 16, has a chance of qtrs (36%), has a small chance of semis (8%), has a very small chance of final (2%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Lyon was already of round of 16, has a good chance of qtrs (64%), has a small chance of semis (9%), has a very small chance of final (2%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Juventus could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Juventus is a favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Juventus won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Juventus won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Juventus
Italian Serie A
01.08.20	Juventus - Roma	1:3 ✺
29.07.20	Cagliari - Juventus	2:0 ✺
26.07.20	Juventus - Sampdoria	2:0 ✺
23.07.20	Udinese - Juventus	2:1 ✺
20.07.20	Juventus - Lazio	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 LLWLW
- Olympique Lyon
French Coupe de la Ligue
31.07.20	Paris Saint-Germain - Lyon	1:0 penalties ✺
Club Friendly
22.07.20	Gent - Lyon	2:3 ✺
18.07.20	Lyon - Celtic	2:1 ✺
16.07.20	Lyon - Glasgow Rangers	0:2 ✺
04.07.20	Lyon - Nice	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Champions League
26.02.20	Lyon - Juventus	1:0
02.11.16	Juventus - Lyon	1:1
18.10.16	Lyon - Juventus	0:1
UEFA Europa League
10.04.14	Juventus - Lyon	2:1
03.04.14	Lyon - Juventus	0:1

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