The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Juventus 70.7%
Draw 20%
Sampdoria 9.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
71%
19.1%
9.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
74.6%
18.2%
9.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Juventus has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
Sampdoria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juventus than the current prediction. (+3.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sampdoria than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
89.7%
2.3%
8%
Juventus - Sampdoria Predictions
Users Predictions:
Juventus will win
(78 of 87 users predict this - 89.66%). Confidence interval (95%): 83.26% โ 96.06%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Preview
In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 8 and 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B).
Juventus has the most likely position - 7 (25.72%), has project points - 57, has currently - 35, has not chance of relegated, has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (3%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Sampdoria has the most likely position - 20 (55.41%), has project points - 24, has currently - 12, has a good chance of relegated (95%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has not chance of win league.
This event has quality59, small importance14, match rating37. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Last 5 head-to-head matches Juventus won 4.
Juventus is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Sampdoria is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Juventus could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match Juventus is absolute favorite.
There will not play in Juventus: Di Maria A.
(Injury)
Ihattaren M.
(Lacking Match Fitness)
Kaio Jorge
(Knee Injury)
Kean M.
(Red Card)
Milik A.
(Thigh Injury)
Peeters D.
(Muscle Injury)
There will not play in Sampdoria: Audero E.
(Shoulder Injury)
Conti A.
(Tendon Injury)
Pussetto I.
(Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Juventus: Alex Sandro
(Muscle Injury)
Chiesa F.
(Knee Injury)
De Sciglio M.
(Injury)
There are questionable in Sampdoria: Ilkhan E.
(Injury)
Lammers S.
(Injury)
Murillo J.
(Injury)
Our prediction for today's Juventus to win the game is with odds 1.34.
Last 23 head-to-head matches Juventus won 16 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 48-21.
Including matches at home between the teams Juventus won 9 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 32-10.