Match Info

Ligue 1 - Round 7

Date: 18 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Parc Olympique Lyonnais (Lyon) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Letexier F. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	CANAL+ Sport 1
Albania	20:45	SuperSport 3
Argentina	15:45	Disney+, ESPN 3
Armenia	22:45	Fast Sports 2, Setanta Sports 1
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, beIN Sports MENA 4, beIN Sports MENA French 1, TOD
Austria	20:45	DAZN
Azerbaijan	22:45	Setanta Sports 1
Bolivia	14:45	ESPN 2
Bosnia And Herzegovina	20:45	Arena Sport 4
Bulgaria	21:45	Diema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	14:45	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
China	02:45	Migu
Colombia	13:45	ESPN 2
Croatia	20:45	Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	21:45	Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2
Czech Republic	20:45	Nova Sport 3, Oneplay
Denmark	20:45	Viaplay
Ecuador	13:45	ESPN 2
Estonia	21:45	Go3 Extra Sports
Europe	—	Setanta Sports 1 Baltic
Finland	21:45	Viaplay 2 Urheilu, Viaplay
France	20:45	DAZN France, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV
Georgia	22:45	Setanta Sports 1
Germany	20:45	DAZN Deutsch
Hong Kong	02:45	beIN Sports 3
Indonesia	01:45	Vidio
Israel	21:45	Sport 5 Max
Italy	20:45	Ligue 1+
Japan	03:45	DAZN Japan
Kazakhstan	00:45	Setanta Sports
Kosovo	20:45	Arena Premium 4, ART Sport 4
Kyrgyzstan	00:45	Setanta Sports 1
Lithuania	21:45	Go3 Extra Sports
Mexico	12:45	FOX One, Tubi TV
Moldova	21:45	Setanta Sports 1
Netherlands	20:45	Viaplay
North Central America	—	Disney+ Caribbean
Norway	20:45	TV2 Play, Viaplay
Paraguay	15:45	ESPN 2
Peru	13:45	Disney+, ESPN 2
Poland	20:45	Eleven Sports 2
Romania	21:45	Voyo
Russia	21:45	Okko Prime, Okko Sport
Serbia	20:45	Arena Premium 4
Slovakia	20:45	Nova Sport 3, Voyo
Slovenia	20:45	Arena Sport 1 Premium
South Korea	03:45	Coupang Play
Spain	20:45	DAZN Espana
Sweden	20:45	Viaplay
Switzerland	20:45	DAZN Switzerland
Tajikistan	23:45	Futbol TV, Setanta Sports 1
Turkey	21:45	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 4, Digiturk
Turkmenistan	23:45	Setanta Sports 1
Ukraine	21:45	MEGOGO Futbol 3, MEGOGO Sport, MEGOGO Ukraine
United Kingdom	19:45	Amazon Prime Video, Ligue 1+
Uruguay	15:45	Disney+
Usa	14:45	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol
Uzbekistan	23:45	Setanta Sports 1
Venezuela	14:45	Disney+, ESPN 2, Inter
International	18:45	OneFootball TV


	Lyon		Nice

	1	X	2
	1.83	3.9	4	Watch
	1.85	3.80	3.90
	1.85	3.75	3.95	Watch
	1.88	3.95	4.15
	1.95	3.85	3.64	Watch
	1.87	3.9	4.05
	1.92	3.94	4.16	Watch
	1.84	3.9	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.87 ↑ (1.7)	3.87 ↓ (4.02)	3.98 ↓ (4.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lyon
51.2%

Draw
24.8%

Nice
24.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

55.5%

23.5%

21%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.6%

22.4%

20%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lyon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

Nice has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lyon than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lyon, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nice than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
95.1%	4.9%	0%

Lyon - Nice Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.75 - over (1.87) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (1.61) (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

AH -0.5 - Lyon (1.92) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

New Consensus by Tipsters:

1X2 - Lyon (1.95) (votes: 96%) ⭐ Best Value.

Users Predictions: Lyon will win (58 of 61 users predict this - 95.08%).
Confidence interval (95%): 89.65% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Lyon will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Lyon (votes: 8 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
40. Descamps R. (G) 13. Athekame Z. 22. Mata C. 19. Niakhate M. (C) 16. Abner Vinicius 6. Tessmann T. 2. Bidstrup M. 26. Boudache K. 99. Nartey N. 24. Duranville J. 10. Sulc P.	23. Diouf Y. (G) 5. Abdelmonem M. 55. Ndayishimiye Y. 35. Mandza Tsiendi X. 92. Clauss J. 28. Witsel A. (C) 6. Boudaoui H. 27. Nkounkou N. 7. Hein G. 9. Amoura M. 11. Wahi E.
Substitutes
20. Bacher F. 1. Greif D. (G) 45. Himbert R. 21. Kluivert R. 18. Merah K. 23. Morton T. 11. Nakamura K. 7. Nuamah E. 8. Tolisso C.	77. Boulhendi T. (G) 39. Coulibaly D. 10. Diop S. 21. Jansson I. 84. Koutoune H. 41. Morana D. 29. Ngoumou N. 8. Sanson M. 36. Seidu A.
Coaches
Fonseca P.	Pantaloni O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
10', Nkounkou N. 🟨,
18', 0 - 1, Wahi E. ⚽, Clauss J. (A),
32', 1 - 1, Sulc P. ⚽,
36', 2 - 1, Tessmann T. ⚽, Athekame Z. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
48', Abdelmonem M. 🟨,
61', Duranville J. ↓, Nakamura K. ↑,
61', Nartey N. ↓, Tolisso C. ↑,
65', Amoura M. 🟨,
70', Nakamura K. 🟥,
75', Boudache K. ↓, Bacher F. ↑,
81', Abdelmonem M. ↓, Seidu A. ↑,
81', Sulc P. ↓, Merah K. ↑,
81', Abner Vinicius ↓, Kluivert R. ↑,
87', Mandza Tsiendi X. ↓, Diop S. ↑,
87', Witsel A. ↓, Sanson M. ↑,
87', Hein G. ↓, Jansson I. ↑,
90+4', Wahi E. 🟨,

Preview

An intriguing matchup between an upper-bracket team and a mid-table rival (ranked 5th in the Promotion - Europa League League phase and 10th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lyon won 4.

Lyon is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Performances by Nice have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Lyon may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Bookmakers give the edge to Lyon for this game.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Lyon has recorded 11 wins, 2 draws, and 7 losses, with a goal aggregate of 37:23 (averaging 1.9:1.2 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Lyon against this opponent, the record stands at 7 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with 18:9 goals (averaging 1.8:0.9 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Lyon	8	4	2	2	13:7	6	14
10	Nice	8	3	2	3	8:10	-2	11

Outrights of French Ligue 1 for now

Lyon: 2.87% Nice: 0.26%

Last Results with these Odds

Lyon - the odds 1.7 are the expected chance of winning is 55.54%, but this team recently wins 86% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Olympique Lyon
UEFA Europa League
15.10.26	Lyon - Crystal Palace	3:2 ✺
French Ligue 1
09.10.26	Lens - Lyon	2:1 ✺
19.09.26	Lyon - Rennes	4:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
16.09.26	Anderlecht - Lyon	1:2 ✺
French Ligue 1
12.09.26	Paris FC - Lyon	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WLWWT
- OGC Nice
French Ligue 1
11.10.26	Nice - Strasbourg	2:1 ✺
20.09.26	Nice - Lille	2:1 ✺
12.09.26	Auxerre - Nice	1:0 ✺
05.09.26	Nice - Le Mans	1:1 ✺
30.08.26	Paris FC - Nice	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 WWLTL

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 1
15.02.26	Lyon - Nice	2:0
18.10.25	Nice - Lyon	3:2
09.03.25	Nice - Lyon	0:2
01.12.24	Lyon - Nice	4:1
16.02.24	Lyon - Nice	1:0
27.08.23	Nice - Lyon	0:0
03.06.23	Nice - Lyon	3:1

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