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Current Win Probability
Union ArzignanoChiampo 39.6%
Draw 30%
Juventus U23 30.3%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
49.7%
27.2%
23.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
50.9%
26.6%
22.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Union ArzignanoChiampo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Union ArzignanoChiampo's form might have worsened.
Juventus U23 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Juventus U23's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Union ArzignanoChiampo than the current prediction. (+11.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Union ArzignanoChiampo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juventus U23 than the current prediction. (-7.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Juventus U23, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Union ArzignanoChiampo - Juventus U23 Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Vannucchi T. (G) 31. De Santis E. 57. Milillo A. 75. Bassi M. 2. Fosu M. J. 30. Gatti C. 16. Moretti M. 13. Cariolato F. 6. Lakti E. (C) 11. Penta M. 9. Mattioli A.
40. Radu R. (G) 2. Rizzo N. 38. Corradi C. 18. Brugarello M. 15. Savio F. 11. Amaradio L. 5. Macca F. (C) 26. Ripani D. 16. Pagnucco F. 9. Durmisi A. 21. Merola A.
Substitutes
5. Campesan E. 17. Castegnaro L. 12. Contarato E. (G) 21. Finizio D. 26. Gambardella V. 15. Gostimirovic M. 22. Manfrin F. (G) 32. Nanni N. 27. Nenna A. 10. Romio J.
14. Elimoghale D. 1. Fuscaldo M. (G) 48. Grelaud J. 17. Guerra S. 20. Keutgen E. 27. Leone F. 22. Mangiapoco S. (G) 24. Mazur P. 44. Montero A. 34. Turco S. 4. van Aarle S. 13. Verde F.
Coaches
Di Donato D.
Brambilla M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
15', 1 - 0, De Santis E. ⚽,
26', Brugarello M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Fosu M. J. ↓, Nanni N. ↑,
48', Gatti C. 🟨,
56', Penta M. ↓, Castegnaro L. ↑,
60', Pagnucco F. 🟨,
66', Amaradio L. ↓, Elimoghale D. ↑,
66', Rizzo N. ↓, Guerra S. ↑,
68', 2 - 0, Moretti M. ⚽,
77', Ripani D. 🟨,
79', Pagnucco F. ↓, Grelaud J. ↑,
79', Ripani D. ↓, Mazur P. ↑,
82', 2 - 1, Durmisi A. ⚽, Elimoghale D. (A),
88', De Santis E. ↓, Campesan E. ↑,
90+2', Mattioli A. ↓, Romio J. ↑,
90+2', Savio F. ↓, Turco S. ↑,
90+4', Moretti M. 🟨,
90+6', Merola A. 🟨,
Preview
One of the top-ranked clubs faces a lower-table side fighting for vital survival points (ranked 4th in the Promotion - Serie C - Promotion - Play Offs (1/16 - finals) and 18th in the Serie C - Play Out).
ArzignanoChiampo is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Juventus U23 has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
ArzignanoChiampo may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
A closely fought contest is anticipated, with ArzignanoChiampo holding a narrow advantage.
In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, ArzignanoChiampo has recorded 2 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 3:1 (averaging 1.5:0.5 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for ArzignanoChiampo against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 2:1 goals.
Italy
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Vannucchi T. (G) 
Lakti E. (C) 
Radu R. (G) 
Nanni N. 
Grelaud J. 
Mazur P. 
Montero A. 
van Aarle S. 
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