Match Info

Emperors Cup - 1/16-finals

Date: 7 October 2026, Wednesday

Location: Kawasaki Todoroki Stadium (Kawasaki)


	Kawasaki Frontale		Tegevajaro Miyazaki

	1	X	2
	1.34	4.80	6.25
	1.6	3.95	4.7
	1.57	4.35	5.34
	1.64	4.1	4.8	Watch
	1.54	4.2	5.2
	1.58	4.1	5.08
	1.58	4	4.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 ↓ (1.73)	4.21 ↑ (3.44)	5.14 ↑ (4.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kawasaki Frontale
59.9%

Draw
22%

Tegevajaro Miyazaki
18.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.2%

26.3%

21.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.1%

25.9%

21%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kawasaki Frontale has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Kawasaki Frontale's performance.

Tegevajaro Miyazaki has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kawasaki Frontale than the current prediction. (-6.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Kawasaki Frontale that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tegevajaro Miyazaki than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Kawasaki Frontale - Tegevajaro Miyazaki Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Kawasaki (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Kawasaki Frontale will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
49. Brodersen S. (G) 97. Derik Lacerda 17. Ito T. 23. Marcinho 28. Maruyama Y. 13. Miura S. 5. Sasaki A. 8. Tachibanada K. 22. Uremovic F. 14. Wakizaka Y. 6. Yamamoto Y.	31. Kimura R. (G) 15. Abe T. 10. Inoue R. 42. Matsumoto K. 26. Miyawaki S. 82. Sakai S. 18. Sato R. 45. Tanaka S. 13. Tsutsumi S. 5. Watanabe E. 8. Yamauchi R.
Substitutes
21. Hayasaka Y. (G) 41. Ienaga A. 19. Kawahara S. 2. Matsunagane Y. 20. Mochiyama K. 34. Osa R. 93. Queiroz K. 29. Yamahara R. 25. Yamaichi S.	9. Hashimoto K. 14. Iesaka Y. 34. Kawai T. 24. Matsumoto Y. 19. Matsuyama K. (G) 99. Murakoshi K. 6. Okuma K. 47. Okumura K. 39. Shimokawa Y.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
12', 1 - 0, Marcinho ⚽,
14', Watanabe E. 🟨,
31', Uremovic F. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
50', 2 - 0, Miura S. ⚽,
60', Yamauchi R. ↓, Iesaka Y. ↑,
60', Sakai S. ↓, Murakoshi K. ↑,
72', Mochiyama K. 🟨,
72', Inoue R. ↓, Hashimoto K. ↑,
73', Sato R. ↓, Okumura K. ↑,
74', Ito T. ↓, Yamaichi S. ↑,
74', Marcinho ↓, Ienaga A. ↑,
83', Wakizaka Y. ↓, Osa R. ↑,
83', Maruyama Y. ↓, Yamahara R. ↑,
85', Miyawaki S. ↓, Shimokawa Y. ↑,

Preview

Both teams enter this match with positive momentum from recent weeks.

Kawasaki could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

In this matchup, Kawasaki is considered the favorite to take the win.

No recent head-to-head matches have been recorded between these two competitors.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kawasaki Frontale
Japan J League Cup
29.09.26	Roasso Kumamoto - Kawasaki Frontale	0:1 ✺
Japan J1 League
19.09.26	Kawasaki Frontale - Kashima Antlers	3:3 ✺
12.09.26	Mito HollyHock - Kawasaki Frontale	0:1 ✺
06.09.26	Kawasaki Frontale - Shimizu S-Pulse	3:1 ✺
02.09.26	Machida Zelvia - Kawasaki Frontale	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WTWWL
- Tegevajaro Miyazaki
Japan J2 League
04.10.26	Tegevajaro Miyazaki - Omiya Ardija	1:1 ✺
26.09.26	Tegevajaro Miyazaki - Consadole Sapporo	3:2 ✺
18.09.26	Vanraure Hachinohe - Tegevajaro Miyazaki	0:3 ✺
12.09.26	Tegevajaro Miyazaki - Fujieda MYFC	3:2 ✺
05.09.26	Sagan Tosu - Tegevajaro Miyazaki	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 TWWWL

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