The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Júbilo Iwata 34%
Draw 29.6%
Kyoto Sanga 36.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
40.9%
28.1%
31%
Our Initial ML Estimation
43.6%
29.9%
29.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Júbilo Iwata has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Júbilo Iwata's form might have worsened.
Kyoto Sanga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Kyoto Sanga's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Júbilo Iwata than the current prediction. (+9.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Júbilo Iwata, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kyoto Sanga than the current prediction. (-7.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Kyoto Sanga, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
50%
25%
25%
Júbilo Iwata - Kyoto Sanga Predictions
Users Predictions:
16 users predict this event. Iwata will win (votes: 8 - 50%). Kyoto will win (votes: 4 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 25%). Confidence interval (95%) for Iwata: 25.5% – 74.5%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
21. Miura R. (G) 50. Uemura H. 15. Suzuki K. 6. Ito M. 4. Matsubara K. 19. Bruno Jose 16. Leo Gomes 7. Uehara R. 40. Kaneko S. 11. Germain R. 99. Matheus Peixoto
94. Gu Sung-Yun (G) 24. Miyamoto Y. 5. Appiah Tawiah H. 50. Suzuki Y. 6. Misao Y. 37. Yonemoto T. 10. Fukuoka S. 39. Hirato T. 9. Marco Tulio 14. Hara T. 31. Hiraga S.
Substitutes
23. Croux J. 31. Furukawa Y. 32. Hilu H. 14. Matsumoto M. 26. Nishikubo S. 24. Sugimoto M. (G) 10. Yamada H.
88. Kakoi K. (G) 19. Kaneko D. 18. Matsuda T. 48. Nakano R. 99. Rafael Elias 44. Sato K. 28. Suzuki T.
Coaches
Yokouchi A.
Jo Gwi-Jae
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
40', 1 - 0, Germain R. ⚽, Matsubara K. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Hiraga S. ↓, Rafael Elias ↑,
57', Matsubara K. 🟨,
63', Fukuoka S. ↓, Kaneko D. ↑,
63', Yonemoto T. ↓, Nakano R. ↑,
63', Appiah Tawiah H. ↓, Suzuki T. ↑,
64', Bruno Jose ↓, Matsumoto M. ↑,
76', Leo Gomes ↓, Nishikubo S. ↑,
79', 1 - 1, Suzuki K. (Own goal),
82', 1 - 2, Rafael Elias ⚽, Marco Tulio (A),
84', Kaneko S. ↓, Furukawa Y. ↑,
84', Uehara R. ↓, Croux J. ↑,
86', Kaneko D. 🟨,
89', Marco Tulio ↓, Sato K. ↑,
90+1', Rafael Elias 🟨,
Preview
This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 16 and 19 in the zone Relegation ~ J2 League).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Iwata won 4.
Recent matches Iwata is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Kyoto is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Iwata could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
Last 11 head-to-head matches Iwata won 6 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 23-15.
Including matches at home between the teams Iwata won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-7.
China
Hong-kong
Japan
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Miura R. (G) 
Bruno Jose 
Gu Sung-Yun (G) 
Croux J. 
Hilu H. 
