Match Info

J1 League - Round 34

Date: 19 October 2025, Sunday

Location: Lemon Gas Stadium (Hiratsuka)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Sporty TV, StarTimes App
Brazil	Canal GOAT
China	K-Ball
India	FanCode, FanCode
Japan	DAZN Japan


	Shonan Bellmare		Kyoto Sanga

	1	X	2
	4.5	4	1.66	Watch
	4.15	3.75	1.72	Watch
	4.7	4.25	1.75
	3.18	3.46	2.17	Watch
	4.14	3.76	1.85	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.13 ↑ (3.84)	3.84 ↓ (3.91)	1.83 ↓ (1.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 1.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shonan Bellmare
23.1%

Draw
24.8%

Kyoto Sanga
52.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.1%

24.7%

50.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25%

24.6%

50.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shonan Bellmare has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Kyoto Sanga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shonan Bellmare than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kyoto Sanga than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Shonan Bellmare - Kyoto Sanga Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Shonan Bellmare will win (votes: 3 - 25%). Kyoto will win (votes: 9 - 75%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Kyoto: 50.5% – 99.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Shonan Bellmare (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Shonan Bellmare (1.87) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.75 - Shonan Bellmare (1.71) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Shonan Bellmare (votes: 6 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Sanada K. (G) 4. Tachi K. 8. Ono K. 66. Matsumoto H. 15. Okuno K. 37. Suzuki Y. 25. Okuno H. 7. Onose K. 47. Nakano S. 9. Oda Y. 10. Suzuki A.	26. Ota G. (G) 2. Fukuda S. 24. Miyamoto Y. 50. Suzuki Y. 22. Sugai H. 16. Takeda S. 6. Joao Pedro 39. Hirato T. 11. Marco Tulio 14. Hara T. 18. Matsuda T.
Substitutes
50. Fujii T. 13. Hiraoka T. 18. Ikeda M. 77. Ishii H. 72. Nitta R. 22. Oiwa K. 1. Popp W. (G) 29. Watanabe K. 6. Ze Ricardo	5. Appiah Tawiah H. 21. Kakoi K. (G) 25. Leo Gomes 93. Nagasawa S. 48. Nakano R. 29. Okugawa M. 32. Saito M. 44. Sato K. 27. Yamada F.
Coaches
Yamaguchi S.	Jo Gwi-Jae

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
29', 1 - 0, Suzuki A. ⚽, Nakano S. (A),
38', Hara T. (Pen),
45+1', Suzuki Y. 🟥,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Matsuda T. ↓, Nakano R. ↑,
46', Takeda S. ↓, Sato K. ↑,
64', Marco Tulio ↓, Okugawa M. ↑,
64', Hirato T. ↓, Nagasawa S. ↑,
71', Onose K. ↓, Ikeda M. ↑,
75', Fukuda S. ↓, Yamada F. ↑,
79', Oda Y. 🟨,
82', Oda Y. ↓, Nitta R. ↑,
82', Suzuki A. ↓, Watanabe K. ↑,
90+2', Joao Pedro 🟨,
90+3', Suzuki A. 🟨,
90+4', Okuno H. ↓, Hiraoka T. ↑,
90+6', Ikeda M. 🟨,
90+10', 1 - 1, Sugai H. ⚽, Yamada F. (A),

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation ~ J2 League and 4).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Shonan Bellmare won 2.

Shonan Bellmare has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Kyoto has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Kyoto is a strong favorite.

There will not play in Shonan Bellmare: Kamifukumoto N. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Nagai T. (Calf Injury) Tamura S. (Broken ankle)

There will not play in Kyoto: Yonemoto T. (Foot Injury)

There are questionable in Kyoto: Fukuoka S. (Injury)

We predict that Kyoto will win today's game, with odds of 1.87.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Shonan Bellmare won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:9. (average 1:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Shonan Bellmare won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:4. (average 1:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shonan Bellmare
Japan J1 League
03.10.25	Shonan Bellmare - Tokyo Verdy	0:1 ✺
28.09.25	Yokohama FC - Shonan Bellmare	1:0 ✺
23.09.25	Shonan Bellmare - Kawasaki Frontale	1:2 ✺
20.09.25	Nagoya Grampus - Shonan Bellmare	3:1 ✺
13.09.25	Kashima Antlers - Shonan Bellmare	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Kyoto Sanga
Japan J1 League
04.10.25	Kyoto Sanga - Kawasaki Frontale	1:1 ✺
28.09.25	Cerezo Osaka - Kyoto Sanga	1:2 ✺
23.09.25	Kyoto Sanga - Machida Zelvia	1:1 ✺
20.09.25	Kyoto Sanga - Shimizu S-Pulse	0:1 ✺
12.09.25	Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Kyoto Sanga	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.9 TWTLT

Latest Head to Head

Japan J1 League
12.04.25	Kyoto Sanga - Shonan Bellmare	2:0
30.06.24	Shonan Bellmare - Kyoto Sanga	0:1
02.03.24	Kyoto Sanga - Shonan Bellmare	1:2
21.10.23	Kyoto Sanga - Shonan Bellmare	0:1
12.03.23	Shonan Bellmare - Kyoto Sanga	0:2
26.06.22	Kyoto Sanga - Shonan Bellmare	0:1
12.03.22	Shonan Bellmare - Kyoto Sanga	1:1

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