Match Info

J1 League - Round 7

Date: 11 September 2026, Friday

Location: Sanga Stadium by Kyocera (Kameoka)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Kyoto Sanga		Kashiwa Reysol

	1	X	2
	4.50	3.90	1.66	Watch
	4.20	3.90	1.71
	4.35	3.70	1.70	Watch
	4.70	4.20	1.73
	4.79	4.01	1.68	Watch
	4.55	4.15	1.69
	4.34	3.95	1.76	Watch
	4.50	4.00	1.71
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.49 ↑ (4.03)	3.98 ↑ (3.67)	1.71 ↓ (1.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kyoto Sanga
21%

Draw
23.7%

Kashiwa Reysol
55.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.3%

25.6%

51.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.8%

25%

52.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kyoto Sanga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Kashiwa Reysol has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kyoto Sanga than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kashiwa Reysol than the current prediction. (-3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
6.7%	13.3%	80%

Kyoto Sanga - Kashiwa Reysol Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Kashiwa (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (1.65) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

New Consensus by Tipsters:

BTTS - yes (1.73) (votes: 100%) ⭐ Best Value.

Users Predictions: Kashiwa Reysol will win (12 of 15 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.76% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
90. Halls (G) 26. Kato R. 15. Nagata K. 50. Suzuki Y. 44. Sato K. 10. Fukuoka S. 6. Joao Pedro 48. Nakano R. 17. Souza Alex 18. Matsuda T. 9. Rafael Elias (C)	25. Kojima R. (G) 42. Harada W. 4. Koga T. (C) 26. Sugioka D. 24. Kubo T. 27. Kumasaka K. 39. Nakagawa N. 5. Endo K. 8. Koizumi Y. 11. Watai M. 15. Fujio S.
Substitutes
77. Arai H. 38. Everton Maceio 16. Hiraoka T. 40. Ishida Y. 93. Nagasawa S. 1. Ota G. (G) 5. Tawiah H. 33. Yamamoto S. 60. Yamanaka R.	88. Baba S. 9. Hosoya M. 21. Konishi Y. 2. Mitsumaru H. 29. Nagai K. (G) 19. Nakama H. 20. Segawa Y. 87. Yamauchi H. 44. Yuba K.
Coaches
Popovic R.	Rodriguez R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
3', 1 - 0, Rafael Elias ⚽, Nakano R. (A),
21', Fukuoka S. 🟨,
32', Koga T. 🟨,
33', 2 - 0, Rafael Elias ⚽, Sato K. (A),
45+3', Matsuda T. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
46', Fujio S. ↓, Segawa Y. ↑,
46', Harada W. ↓, Baba S. ↑,
59', 2 - 1, Kubo T. ⚽, Watai M. (A),
63', Watai M. 🟨,
64', Souza Alex ↓, Arai H. ↑,
67', 2 - 2, Segawa Y. ⚽, Watai M. (A),
71', 2 - 3, Segawa Y. ⚽, Koizumi Y. (A),
75', Watai M. ↓, Yamauchi H. ↑,
78', Endo K. ↓, Yuba K. ↑,
79', Nagata K. ↓, Tawiah H. ↑,
80', Rafael Elias 🟨,
85', Nakagawa N. ↓, Konishi Y. ↑,
90+1', Matsuda T. ↓, Nagasawa S. ↑,
90+1', Fukuoka S. ↓, Everton Maceio ↑,
90+1', Kato R. ↓, Yamamoto S. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kyoto won 1.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

In this match, Kashiwa is a strong favorite.

There will not play in Kyoto: Sakai K. (Injury)

There will not play in Kashiwa: Okubo T. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Tezuka K. (Inactive) Yamada Y. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Kyoto: Nakano R. (Injury)

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Kyoto won 4 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 19:33. (average 1.3:2.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Kyoto won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 7:14. (average 1:2).

Outrights of Japan J1 League for now

Kashiwa Reysol: 11.22% Kyoto: 1.57%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Kashiwa Reysol	4	4	0	0	10:4	6	12
14	Kyoto	4	1	1	2	6:8	-2	4

Last Results with these Odds

Kashiwa Reysol - the odds 1.84 are the expected chance of winning is 51.09%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kyoto Sanga
Japan J1 League
06.09.26	Tokyo - Kyoto Sanga	2:0 ✺
02.09.26	Yokohama F. Marinos - Kyoto Sanga	1:1 ✺
29.08.26	Kyoto Sanga - Avispa Fukuoka	2:1 ✺
Japan Emperors Cup
26.08.26	Kyoto Sanga - Maruyasu Okazaki	1:0 ✺
Japan J1 League
22.08.26	Kyoto Sanga - Mito HollyHock	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 LTWWL
- Kashiwa Reysol
Japan J1 League
06.09.26	Kashiwa Reysol - Yokohama F. Marinos	0:2 ✺
02.09.26	Cerezo Osaka - Kashiwa Reysol	2:0 ✺
29.08.26	Shimizu S-Pulse - Kashiwa Reysol	0:1 ✺
21.08.26	Kashiwa Reysol - V-Varen Nagasaki	1:0 ✺
14.08.26	Tokyo Verdy - Kashiwa Reysol	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Japan J1 League
06.06.26	Kashiwa Reysol - Kyoto Sanga	0:1
30.05.26	Kyoto Sanga - Kashiwa Reysol	2:6
21.06.25	Kashiwa Reysol - Kyoto Sanga	3:3
02.04.25	Kyoto Sanga - Kashiwa Reysol	1:1
26.06.24	Kyoto Sanga - Kashiwa Reysol	2:2
25.02.24	Kashiwa Reysol - Kyoto Sanga	1:1
06.08.23	Kyoto Sanga - Kashiwa Reysol	0:1

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