Match Info

J2/J3 League - Placement matches - Final

Date: 6 June 2026, Saturday

Location: Yamaha Stadium (Iwata)


	Júbilo Iwata		Osaka

	1	X	2
	2.45	2.80	2.75
	2.40	2.95	3.00	Watch
	2.57	3.04	2.90
	2.65	2.98	2.8	Watch
	2.50	3.00	2.60
	2.53	3.00	2.91	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.52 ↑ (2.18)	2.96 ↓ (3.07)	2.83 ↓ (3.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Júbilo Iwata
36.5%

Draw
31%

Osaka
32.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

41.5%

29.5%

29%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.1%

28.4%

27.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Júbilo Iwata has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

Osaka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Júbilo Iwata than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Júbilo Iwata, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Osaka than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

Júbilo Iwata - Osaka Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Abe K. (G) 50. Uemura H. 3. Morioka R. 20. Kato D. 8. Tameda H. 65. Nishioka K. 7. Uehara R. 36. Yoshimura R. 39. Sumi K. 9. Watanabe R. 11. Matheus Peixoto	31. Sekinuma N. (G) 2. Sakamoto K. 23. Akiyama T. 40. Kawakami R. 6. Tachino S. 15. Fukui K. 7. Kitsui T. 14. Sumida S. 41. Nose R. 99. Vinicius Souza 29. Sugawara R.
Substitutes
42. Ishizuka R. 38. Kawaguchi N. 66. Masuda S. 26. Nishikubo S. 28. Nishizawa T. (G) 56. Okuda Y. 27. Sato R.	21. Kimura H. 10. Kubo R. 25. Kuwako R. 5. Minakuchi Y. 36. Morimura S. 20. Sakimoto O. 1. Sugawara H. (G) 32. Toriyama H. 28. Toya T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
35', Yoshimura R. 🟨,
38', Kitsui T. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Yoshimura R. ↓, Nishikubo S. ↑,
59', 1 - 0, Tameda H. ⚽, Watanabe R. (A),
62', Vinicius Souza ↓, Toya T. ↑,
62', Nose R. ↓, Morimura S. ↑,
72', Sugawara R. ↓, Kubo R. ↑,
76', Matheus Peixoto ↓, Sato R. ↑,
79', 1 - 1, Kubo R. ⚽, Tachino S. (A),
Extra Time (1 - 1)
91', Fukui K. ↓, Toriyama H. ↑,
99', Uehara R. ↓, Okuda Y. ↑,
100', Kitsui T. ↓, Kimura H. ↑,
106', Watanabe R. ↓, Ishizuka R. ↑,
109', 2 - 1, Ishizuka R. ⚽, Sato R. (A),
120+2', 2 - 2, Tachino S. ⚽,
Penalties (4 - 5)
1, Sato R. (Penalty Awarded),
1, Kawakami R. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Tameda H. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Sumida S. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Kato D. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Toya T. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Uemura H. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Morimura S. (Penalty Awarded),
5, Sumi K. (Penalty Awarded),
5, Tachino S. (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Recently, Iwata has had a series of away games.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Iwata won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Last Results with these Odds

Júbilo Iwata - the odds 2.18 are the expected chance of winning is 41.55%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Júbilo Iwata
Japan J2 J3 League
30.05.26	Tochigi City - Júbilo Iwata	4:3 penalties ✺
23.05.26	Consadole Sapporo - Júbilo Iwata	0:1 ✺
16.05.26	Júbilo Iwata - Fujieda MYFC	0:3 ✺
10.05.26	Fukushima United - Júbilo Iwata	4:2 ✺
06.05.26	Ventforet Kofu - Júbilo Iwata	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 LWLLW
- FC Osaka
Japan J2 J3 League
30.05.26	Osaka - Reilac Shiga	0:1 ET ✺
24.05.26	Kamatamare Sanuki - Osaka	2:3 penalties ✺
17.05.26	Osaka - Zweigen Kanazawa	1:2 penalties ✺
09.05.26	Osaka - Imabari	1:2 ✺
06.05.26	Nara Club - Osaka	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Japan J League Cup
26.03.25	Osaka - Júbilo Iwata	1:2

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