Match Info

J2/J3 League - Placement matches - Round 1

Date: 30 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Hanazono Rugby Stadium (Higashiosaka)


	Osaka		Reilac Shiga

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.62	3.45	4.75	Watch
	1.64	3.56	4.81
	1.67	3.68	4.99	Watch
	1.57	3.6	4.8
	1.68	3.65	5.04	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 ↓ (2.37)	3.59 ↑ (2.94)	4.88 ↑ (3.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Osaka
55.8%

Draw
25.5%

Reilac Shiga
18.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.2%

31.6%

29.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.6%

31.9%

29%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Osaka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Osaka's performance.

Reilac Shiga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Reilac Shiga might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Osaka than the current prediction. (-16.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Osaka that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Reilac Shiga than the current prediction. (+10.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Reilac Shiga could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	0%	14.3%

Osaka - Reilac Shiga Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Osaka will win (votes: 6 - 85.7%). Reilac Shiga will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Sugawara H. (G) 2. Sakamoto K. 5. Minakuchi Y. 40. Kawakami R. 6. Tachino S. 10. Kubo R. 37. Iesaka Y. 14. Sumida S. 36. Morimura S. 9. Shimada T. 29. Sugawara R.	1. Ito K. (G) 14. Shiraishi T. 2. Hirai S. 4. Ide K. 44. Fujitani S. 8. Nakamura K. 32. Umiguchi G. 18. Akiyama S. 7. Kubota K. 28. Tabei Y. 10. Hitomi T.
Substitutes
23. Akiyama T. 15. Fukui K. 7. Kitsui T. 41. Nose R. 31. Sekinuma N. (G) 16. Tanaka K. 32. Toriyama H. 28. Toya T. 99. Vinicius Souza	15. Kikushima T. 21. Kushibiki M. (G) 11. Miyake K. 9. Morimoto H. 5. Nishiyama T. 24. Romero F. 16. Suzuki S. 48. Tanida S. 47. Watanabe R.
Coaches
Yabuta M.	Wada H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Minakuchi Y. ↓, Akiyama T. ↑,
60', Akiyama S. ↓, Kikushima T. ↑,
60', Tabei Y. ↓, Romero F. ↑,
62', Sugawara R. ↓, Fukui K. ↑,
62', Morimura S. ↓, Nose R. ↑,
68', Hitomi T. ↓, Miyake K. ↑,
81', Kubo R. ↓, Kitsui T. ↑,
87', Kubota K. ↓, Morimoto H. ↑,
87', Sakamoto K. ↓, Tanaka K. ↑,
88', Nose R. 🟨,
Extra Time (0 - 1)
91', Fujitani S. ↓, Suzuki S. ↑,
102', 0 - 1, Suzuki S. (Penalty Awarded),
103', Shimada T. ↓, Vinicius Souza ↑,
105+1', Shiraishi T. 🟨,
114', Umiguchi G. ↓, Tanida S. ↑,
116', Tanaka K. 🟨,

Preview

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

In this match, Osaka is considered a favorite.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Osaka
Japan J2 J3 League
24.05.26	Kamatamare Sanuki - Osaka	2:3 penalties ✺
17.05.26	Osaka - Zweigen Kanazawa	1:2 penalties ✺
09.05.26	Osaka - Imabari	1:2 ✺
06.05.26	Nara Club - Osaka	1:3 ✺
02.05.26	Kochi United - Osaka	1:0 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WLLWL
- Reilac Shiga FC
Japan J2 J3 League
24.05.26	Tegevajaro Miyazaki - Reilac Shiga	2:3 penalties ✺
17.05.26	Reilac Shiga - Giravanz Kitakyushu	1:0 ✺
13.05.26	Gainare Tottori - Reilac Shiga	3:2 ✺
10.05.26	Reilac Shiga - Kagoshima United	1:0 ✺
06.05.26	Reilac Shiga - Renofa Yamaguchi	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 30.9 WWLWL

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