Match Info

J2 League - Round 9

Date: 13 April 2025, Sunday

Location: Toyama Stadium (Toyama)

Where to Watch on TV:


Japan	DAZN Japan


	Kataller Toyama		Renofa Yamaguchi

	1	X	2
	2.5	3	3	Watch
	2.35	2.8	2.87
	2.43	2.95	3.05	Watch
	2.47	2.91	3.16	Watch
	2.45	2.88	2.9
	2.42	2.98	3.13	Watch
	2.43	2.95	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.44 ↑ (2.23)	2.92 ↓ (3.15)	3.02 ↑ (2.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kataller Toyama
37.9%

Draw
31.6%

Renofa Yamaguchi
30.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.3%

28.5%

31.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42%

27.3%

29.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kataller Toyama has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Renofa Yamaguchi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kataller Toyama than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Renofa Yamaguchi than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	20%	0%

Kataller Toyama - Renofa Yamaguchi Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Kataller Toyama will win (votes: 4 - 80%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Kataller Toyama (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Kataller Toyama (1.69) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Kataller Toyama (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Tagawa T. (G) 23. Nishiya S. 4. Kamiyama K. 5. Imase J. 88. Hama T. 33. Takahashi Y. 34. Takenaka G. 16. Sueki H. 18. Ito T. 10. Matsuda R. 9. Usui S.	1. Marsman N. (G) 15. Itakura T. 4. Matsuda K. 14. Shimodo R. 55. Okaniwa S. 8. Noyori K. 17. Tanabe K. 40. Naruoka H. 38. Suenaga T. 45. Yamamoto O. 34. Furukawa D.
Substitutes
28. Fuseya S. 17. Inoue N. 8. Matsuoka D. 21. Okubo T. (G) 41. Sakai S. 58. Take H. 48. Ueda K. 14. Ura J. 27. Yoshihira T.	9. Arita R. 10. Ikegami J. 76. Isotani S. 28. Kobayashi S. 30. Okuyama Y. 27. Ozawa R. 26. Taguchi J. (G) 19. Yamamoto S. 11. Yokoyama R.
Coaches
Otagiri M.	Shigaki R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
5', Suenaga T. 🟨,
9', 1 - 0, Matsuda R. ⚽, Ito T. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Itakura T. ↓, Ozawa R. ↑,
46', Furukawa D. ↓, Arita R. ↑,
55', Suenaga T. ↓, Kobayashi S. ↑,
57', 1 - 1, Arita R. ⚽,
66', Takahashi Y. ↓, Matsuoka D. ↑,
66', Ito T. ↓, Ura J. ↑,
66', Matsuda R. ↓, Take H. ↑,
68', Noyori K. ↓, Yamamoto S. ↑,
74', Shimodo R. ↓, Isotani S. ↑,
77', Imase J. 🟨,
77', Takenaka G. ↓, Ueda K. ↑,
82', 1 - 2, Kobayashi S. ⚽, Arita R. (A),
87', Hama T. ↓, Fuseya S. ↑,
87', 2 - 2, Kamiyama K. ⚽, Usui S. (A),

Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 12 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ J3 League).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Renofa Yamaguchi could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kataller Toyama
Japan J2 League
06.04.25	Roasso Kumamoto - Kataller Toyama	0:0 ✺
30.03.25	Kataller Toyama - Vegalta Sendai	0:1 ✺
Japan J League Cup
26.03.25	Kataller Toyama - JEF United Chiba	4:2 ✺
Japan J2 League
23.03.25	Sagan Tosu - Kataller Toyama	1:0 ✺
16.03.25	Imabari - Kataller Toyama	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 TLWLT
- Renofa Yamaguchi
Japan J League Cup
09.04.25	Renofa Yamaguchi - Kashima Antlers	2:1 penalties ✺
Japan J2 League
05.04.25	Renofa Yamaguchi - Ehime	1:1 ✺
30.03.25	Blaublitz Akita - Renofa Yamaguchi	1:0 ✺
Japan J League Cup
26.03.25	Oita Trinita - Renofa Yamaguchi	2:3 ✺
Japan J2 League
23.03.25	Renofa Yamaguchi - Roasso Kumamoto	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 WTLWL

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